I've said most of this elsewhere, but here goes.
Firstly, I no longer care or think it relevant to care whether we should have signed him in the first place...regardless of the deal. It's still only somewhat relevant that we extended him, when I'd have preferred we hadn't.
Kirk is a good guy. Kirk is a good QB. Kirk is not a great QB. We don't necessarily NEED a great QB...unless the cap space he's using up suggests he IS one. His stats, especially this year, look very good...but I agree, he's not as good as his stats infer he is.
1) He can't read pre-snap defenses well enough to check out of plays nearly as well as he needs to be able to.
2) He gets too locked in on receivers leading to him FAR too often not seeing wide open receivers elsewhere
3) He gets pressured and/or takes sacks FAR too often where the OL takes the blame when it's just him hesitating on throws
4) He gets credit for a high completion percentage despite the fact it wouldn't be nearly as high if he didn't have Thielen and JJ in particular making fantastic grabs of otherwise poorly thrown balls
5) Along that same line, because he too often throws just accurately enough for a receiver to make a great catch, that same receiver has less/no chance for YAC compared to a properly thrown ball
6) His fault, play call he didn't check out of, whatever the reason too often he's going for 20 yards when we need 5 for a first down or throws a 3 yd pass when we need 5....both with low percentages of achieving the immediate goal of making a 1st down.
Our options this offseason are:
1) Do nothing. Pay him $45mil next season, playing out his contract.
2) Work on another extension, reducing his cap hit next season but meaning he's still our QB the next few years and likely won't accept any down-to-earth/hometown discount kinda number.
3) Cut him and have a $45mil dead cap hit
4) Trade him, take a $10mil dead cap hit
If it's me, we trade him. We take the $10mil hit, we don't expect a ton in return (as in he's not going to net us a 1st rd pick let alone multiples), talk Kellen Moore or Byron Leftwich into coming here, see what Mond can be and/or find a trade partner where we get a viable starter in return. Personally (but it's the Oregon alum in me) I'd like to see us sign Mariota to back Mond up or be the stop gap until Mond is ready. This Vikings offense, with our skill players, a mobile QB running it and Kellen Moore calling the plays would be a juggernaut.
gotta love 'referential' treatment