Raiders 2021 Early Mock Offseason
Every year I do one or two complete mock offseasons with cuts, signings, draft, and so on. I do my best to try to be accurate as to what I actually see the team doing but obviously has some bias of my own as well. Feel free to let me know your thoughts.
The Raiders finished the 2020 season at 8-8. Plenty of disappointment to go around after another 6-3 start ended in a missed playoff berth. The Raiders need to make some drastic changes if they are going to get into the playoffs next season.
Due to the Pandemic the cap will likely drop for the first time in years. The estimate for this upcoming season is 175M(though some newer reports suggest it could be closer to 185M). The Raiders are currently estimated at 188M in used cap already for next season so cuts will be needed.
Cuts
Tyrell Willaims WR: The Raiders signed Williams with hopes he could be a good WR. Injuries really limited his first two seasons with the Raiders so the Raiders part ways and move on and save 11.6M.
Lamarcus Joyner DB: We could probably debate for hours whether or not Joyner could have been successful if they just played him at safety full time but we will never know. I considered keeping him as he has experience and succeeded under Phillips but the cap opening it too important. 8.7M saved.
Marcus Mariota QB : Having a good back up QB can be important. That said spending 10M on back up is a lot of money especially with how much most other back ups are being paid currently. Save 10.1M *(Some rumors Raiders could trade Mariota as well which would also net the same savings)
Richie Incognito G: Incognito joined the Raiders and had an immediate impact his first year here. Injuries led him to only playing 1 game this year. John Simpson will be taking Incognitos spot this year. Saves 6.35M
Jeff Heath S: Heath had several good games for the Raiders this year but even then he is a replacement level player. Saves 3.15M
Trent Brown T: Now some may say this is obvious but Im really not sure Raiders move on from Brown this offseason. Free agency doesnt really offer an upgrade and do Raiders feel Brandon Parker can replace him. Thats a tough ask. Either way he is gone and saves 14M.
Various bottom of the roster cuts of future contract players signed recently. Saves 9.42M
Resigning
Johnathan Hankins DT( 2 year 6M): Hankins was one of the bright spots in the interior of the defense. Though he may not have the stats to show it, he constantly fought double teams and allowed our other defenders the opportunity to make plays even if they did not often. Hankins is a guy who is easily forgotten by most but makes a difference.
Nathan Peterman(1 year up to 3M) Now this signing is already completed but the exact numbers haven’t been added yet. My estimate is 1 year 2M with 1M in incentives so only 2M off the cap.
Takkarist McKinley(1 year 3M) McKinley never really got a chance to show off with the Raiders. Raiders bring back McKinley on a reasonable prove it deal.
RFA/ERFA resigning:
Trent Sieg, Daniel Carlson, Dallin Leavitt, and Kendal Vickers. All players will be given contract offers and will be back for the Raiders next season. Estimated total for all 4 will be around 4M.
Potential other resignings:
Denzelle Good: I believe Raiders go Jon Simpson for LG this season. Should Raiders decide they need the veteran at the position or if Raiders decide to part with Gabe Jackson then Good would likely be brought back.
Nicholas Morrow: Morrow improved during the season and is a LB that could fit Bradleys system. He could be brought back at a reasonable price.
Free Agent Signings:
Marcus Williams: Safety (4 Year 52M): Williams is the best safety this off-season who will likely hit the open market. Williams has shown in the NFL to be one of the best safeties in the league. Would pair well with Abrams as Williams plays the deep ball well.
Richard Sherman: CB (1 year 7M): Gruden hinted in a podcast with Sherman recently that he was looking for a vet alpha dog in the secondary. Though Williams is the better player at this point Sherman is the leader our defense needs. Someone who is willing to call out players on their mistakes and keep others accountable.
Melvin Ingram: Edge( 4 year 56M): Bradley brings over a familiar face from the Chargers. Ingram gives a veteran pass rusher who can take pressure off of Ferrell and Crosby.
John Ross: WR (1 year Vet min): Gruden has made it known he wants to create his own version of the Chiefs WR core. After letting Agholor walk in this mock offseason, Raiders replace him with another 1st round bust who can be a deep threat. Maybe Raiders strike hot twice with WR projects.
Tyrell Williams: WR ( 1 year 2M): After being cut Williams options for this season will be limited. I do believe returning to the Raiders on a much smaller contract is something Raiders would be interested in.
NFL Draft
1st round. Raiders start the 1st round by trading up in the draft. Raiders Trade 1st(17), 3rd(80) 3rd 2022 for 1st(11), 5th.
1st(11): Micah Parsons, LB Penn State
Now I have seen the occasional mock have Parsons fall but I dont see it happening. Moving up and acquiring a top tier talent like Parsons would really bring our front 7 to the next level. Parsons is the best LB in the class and fits in every front. Excels as a blitzing LB while being a great run stuffer. He needs to improve some as a coverage backer but will has the ability to be a complete LB at the next level.
2nd: Daviyon Nixon, DT Iowa
Nixon is still rare as a DT but as a 3T Nixon has a very strong burst and first step from the interior. Although Baramore is a more complete DT today Nixon has greater upside in my opinion. Nixon would fit well in the interior and could be our primary interior rusher.
4th: Brady Christensen, T BYU
With cutting Brown Raiders options at RT are limited this season. Parker showed flashes last season but unsure if he can be the long term RT. Brady gives the Raiders competition for him at RT as well as giving the Raiders a swing tackle back up out of whoever loses the RT job.
5th: Chuba Hubbard, RB Oklahoma State
Raiders need a #2 RB. Hubbard has fallen down draft boards all season and being projected as a 4th/5th guy. Hubbard would pair well with Jacobs and give the Raiders a 1 / 2 punch at RB.
5th: Reed Blankenship, S Middle Tennessee
Raiders address the open starting S position in free agency but depth is needed.
7th: Sam Ehlinger, QB Texas
With Mariota gone and Peterman moving to the #2 QB spot Gruden finds his #3 QB he likes to roster. Ehlinger has some NFL tools but never really put it together in college. Maybe with a few years under Gruden he can develop into a reasonable back up QB.
Raiders Roster:
QB: Derek Carr/ Nathan Peterman / Sam Ehlinger
RB Josh Jacobs / Chuba Hubbard / Jalen Richard
FB: Alec Ingold
WR: Henry Ruggs III / John Ross III
WR: Bryan Edwards / Tyrell Williams / Keelen Doss
Slot: Hunter Renfrow
TE: Darren Waller / Foster Moreau / Nick Bowers
LT: Kolton Miller /
LG: Jon Simpson / Kamaal Seymour
C: Rodney Hudson / Andre James
RG: Gabe Jackson
RT: Brandon Parker / Brady Christensen
LE: Maxx Crosby / Takkarist McKinley / Arden Key
DT: Daviyon Nixon / Kendal Vickers
DT: Maurice Hurst
NT: Jonathan Hankins
RE: Melvin Ingram / Clelin Ferrell / Carl Nassib
WLB: Cory Litteton / Tanner Muse
MLB: Nick Kwiatoski / Javin White
SLB: Micah Parsons /
CB: Richard Sherman / Keisean Nixon
CB: Trayvon Mullen / Damon Arnette
Slot CB: Amik Robertson / Isaiah Johnson
FS: Marcus Williams / Reed Blankenship
SS: Jonathan Abram / Dallin Leavitt
P: AJ Cole
K: Daniel Carlson
LS: Trent Sieg
This puts the roster at 52/53 with 1 spots for a UDFA rookie that will likely make the team. Overall I tried to be realistic in what a full off-season could look like. Feel free to debate all you want. Just wanted to put something together for discussion.