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Well it’s because baseball is kinda a different type of sport in that a lot of times it’s 1v1, batter vs pitcher.
In football, there’s so many different scenarios that can happen at any given moment that context is needed a lot more often. Qb gets hit while throwing, ball gets tipped at line of scrimmage, center gives the QB a bad snap which throws off the QBs timing, wr drops the ball, when the WR drops the ball, WR drops ball and defender catches it, wr runs incorrect route etc..
And this is just a few examples.. there’s tons of different scenarios for every position because unlike baseball, football every single position is doing something every single snap and every position can have a huge impact on the game at any given moment whether good or bad.
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stats are flawed in all sports but nomatter how you slice it its still far better than any eye test in any sport ever... you cant watch enough of everyone and know what is or isnt people fault unless you watch the tape/know the game plan and be in the coaches head to understand the routes ran or expected to be ran and so on down the list... Nobody watches enough of all players to justify using an eye test over stats in any situation because for all you or anyone knows then the eye test could easily show a QB on a **** team that nobody watches and isnt a big name could be the best actual QB in the sport who is just awful because of the situation/team/lack of anything/coaching/schedule/division... As flawed as certain stats are there is no real bias in stats like there is in the eye test esp when you watch certain guys more than others...
example MBC has a hard on for hating on carr and that is his prerogative ... but his take is and has been he watched carr more than just about anyone he watches and knows he isnt as good as his numbers indicate without watching film/understanding the game plan and the routes/coaching and so on down the list but because he watches this guy he now has it in his head he isnt as good as others.... its the cam newton stuff as well.. same thing.
The eye test is the most flawed thing in any and every sport that involves teams because you cant watch every team/every teammate and every game plan week in and week out period.
probably 75/25 stats over eye test and that is me being generous..... if you tell me you go over game film/talk to coaches/watch all games play in and play out every week then i have 0 issues with someone using the eye test.... you cant/dont know and wont ever know... most experts that follow certain players specifically still dont have the time to break down how said player they follow is better than other QBs
Eh I still think it’s a little highly in favor of stats. I think in football you always have to weigh context higher.
Two QBs throw for 350 yards 2Tds and 1Int against the same neutral defense and same neutral site
Two batters go 3-4 with a 2HR and 5RBI against the same neutral pitcher and the same neutral site.
I feel that you need like 5-10% more context to tell who was better as a batter (maybe how many SBs, if the out was a strikeout vs like a GIDP, maybe like 2 bbs). But they relatively had the same level of production that day.
I feel that those QBs you’re going to need to find out who the receivers were (I’d say Wentz’ WRs vs Daks WRs would make Wentz line more impressive), how many attempts did it take to get to 350. Who were the targets. Was the team winning/losing. Were there other points left on the field. Wrong routes. Plus more. I feel like that makes it closer to like 35-40% context driven.
Basically just throwing numbers out there for football you almost always need context to evaluate each stat. Regardless if stats show more of the picture, it’s still not enough to basically look at numbers and say “welp, he’s better/worse” and it seems that’s where some people head.
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Even after my long winded response, I like this. Football needs more stats that clear away context.
You start measuring things like dropped INTs or dropped passes and you start erasing the context argument since those stats are explaining the context.
There are still many situations out there that aren’t measured though. That’s the problem.
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