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I don't see any way there won't be enough votes outstanding for EITHER of them to concede on Nov 3
Him projecting himself the winner on election night, despite the number of outstanding votes, I could see.
gotta love 'referential' treatment
Plenty high profile leftists have gone on record saying biden shouldn't quit. Hillary infamously refused to give her defeat a nod. That said, isn't there a certain margin of defeat that should mean he has to accept defeat. If its close I understand, mail in ballots when the virus is this puny and we're all going out more is pathetic. I don't vote but I've been in so many large gatherings by now that this ***** virus wouldn't stop me from voting in the most accurate way
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I've been following 538. They had Hilary winning but Trump was well within the margin of error, so they weren't necessarily wrong, Trump just covered the spread. For 2020, they have Biden winning nationally well outside the margin of error, but electorally it's pretty close. Most of the battleground states that Biden is leading, Trump is within the margin of error again, so he'll definitely lose the popular vote again, but still can win the electoral college.
I think we're all pretty skeptical of polling because of the last election, and rightfully so. The media really cherrypicked certain polls. I find 538 is one of the better sites. They accumulate polling, grade them on methodology and sampling, and give a confidence grade as to how accurate they are. They'll be critical of them as well, and point to certain errors or possible missed demographs in their samples. It's interesting. Of course you'll need to understand polling and statistics, but they usually do a pretty good job explaining polling, certain polls, the vocabulary and what's important and not. Their podcasts are good listens IMO.
That being said, polling shows what people should do come voting time. That's different then what people actually do.
The Lost Boys of PSD
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