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  1. #16
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    35,683
    This team played 48-29 ball in last 3 months of 2019. That's a .620 clip that averages out to a 100 win season. We lost Wheeler but gained depth. We have some help in the pen that we really needed. And the young guys are all just a bit more mature.

    Big wildcards for me are Syndergaard and Davis. I think Syndergaard has a massive season to go along with deGrom's steady greatness. And I think JD Davis puts it all together and gets 600 at bats of 4-5 WAR baseball.

    100-62

    They win it all.

    Don't worry. He's got this.

  2. #17
    Join Date
    Nov 2018
    Location
    Shea Stadium
    Posts
    1,097
    My predictions.

    The Mets will win at least 1 game.

    The Mets will lose at least 1 game.

    BVW will say something off the wall, again. But he'll be proud!

  3. #18
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Posts
    52,556
    Contact and Plate Discipline Trends
    Amed Rosario Ė SS, New York Mets


    Amed Rosario is one of my favorite breakout picks for this season. As you can see, heís shown incredible growth with three consecutive seasons of improvement across the board. Rosario is chasing fewer pitches, recognizing better pitches in the zone, and making better contact on those pitches. When we take a look at the quality of contact trends, things look even better. Rosario has improved his barrel rate each of the last three seasons, as well as his average exit velocity. He still hits too many balls into the ground with only a 29.3% fly-ball rate. But if he can get continue to trend the right way with his launch angle, which raised by 1.6 degrees from 2018 to 2019, I can see a 20/20 season with a .290-.300 average for Rosario.


    For reference, the chart below shows the league-average numbers for contact and plate discipline metrics.





    https://www.fantraxhq.com/2020-fanta...ipline-trends/
    Last edited by Claymation; 01-27-2020 at 05:21 PM.


    "You don't know how to drink. Your whole generation, you drink for the wrong reasons. My generation, we drink because it's good, because it feels better than unbuttoning your collar, because we deserve it. We drink because it's what men do."

  4. #19
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    35,683
    Quote Originally Posted by Claymation View Post


    For reference, the chart below shows the league-average numbers for contact and plate discipline metrics.





    https://www.fantraxhq.com/2020-fanta...ipline-trends/
    Predictions?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

    Don't worry. He's got this.

  5. #20
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    Brooklyn New York
    Posts
    23,634
    Quote Originally Posted by GottaBelieve View Post
    This team played 48-29 ball in last 3 months of 2019. That's a .620 clip that averages out to a 100 win season. We lost Wheeler but gained depth. We have some help in the pen that we really needed. And the young guys are all just a bit more mature.

    Big wildcards for me are Syndergaard and Davis. I think Syndergaard has a massive season to go along with deGrom's steady greatness. And I think JD Davis puts it all together and gets 600 at bats of 4-5 WAR baseball.

    100-62

    They win it all.
    Big dick energy, I like it.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    If Trump can become president with no political background then I don't understand why I need a resumť

  6. #21
    Join Date
    Jul 2004
    Location
    Kabul Afghanistan
    Posts
    2,829
    Quote Originally Posted by GottaBelieve View Post
    Predictions?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    He's going to be badass

    Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk

  7. #22
    Join Date
    Jul 2008
    Posts
    52,556
    Quote Originally Posted by GottaBelieve View Post
    Predictions?


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    PLATE DISCIPLINE TRENDS: 9 PLAYERS READY TO BREAK OUT!

    #1 Amed Rosario


    "You don't know how to drink. Your whole generation, you drink for the wrong reasons. My generation, we drink because it's good, because it feels better than unbuttoning your collar, because we deserve it. We drink because it's what men do."

  8. #23
    Join Date
    Nov 2009
    Location
    Queens, NY
    Posts
    73,609

    2020 Crazy Mets Predictions

    Quote Originally Posted by Claymation View Post


    For reference, the chart below shows the league-average numbers for contact and plate discipline metrics.





    https://www.fantraxhq.com/2020-fanta...ipline-trends/
    The bottom chart is actually Joey Gallo. I thought those numbers didnít make sense and I was right.

    Hereís league average in 2019:

    O-Swing: 31.5%
    Z-Swing: 68.9%
    Swing: 47.1%
    O-Contact: 63.0%
    Z-Contact: 85.1%
    Contact: 76.5%
    Zone: 41.6%
    F-Strike: 60.6%
    SwStr: 11.1%

    https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders.as...ate=2019-12-31

    Amedís discipline has improved, but heís still very aggressive and still chasing a lot. Lets see if he can put together a good full season of consistent play.

  9. #24
    Join Date
    Nov 2018
    Location
    Shea Stadium
    Posts
    1,097
    Quote Originally Posted by Claymation View Post
    PLATE DISCIPLINE TRENDS: 9 PLAYERS READY TO BREAK OUT!

    #1 Amed Rosario
    I think it would help if we put liquid heat in their jockstraps during the season.

  10. #25
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    The Boogie Down
    Posts
    108,387
    I dunno about Crazy but Iíll put some of what I expect.

    deGrom 20-5 2.25 ERA wins third straight CY and the Mets finally give him run support.

    Syndergaard 17-9 3.20 ERA Finally he puts a full good year after a couple of mediocre ones.

    Stroman 14-8 3.55 ERA Solid year from him.

    Matz 7-7 3.95 ERA More of the same from Matz and misses some time.

    Porcello 8-9 4.35 ERA starts off well and then starts to suck.

    Wacka 7-4 3.77 ERA Is the swing guy starting for Matz and Porcello.

    Lugo 5-2 2.52 ERA continues to pitch great and is used in various roles.

    Diaz 1-3 2.35 ERA 42 saves Has the bounce back year we hoped for.

    Betances 4-5 3.30 ERA has a solid year but not as dominant as he was with Yanks.

    Familia 3-4 3.90 ERA bounces back a bit, but also not as good as he once was.

    Wilson 3-3 3.77 ERA

    Brach 1-2 4.40 ERA

    Gsellman 1-3 4.51 ERA

    Miscellaneous pitchers 4-3




    Ramos .290/.355/.470/.825(120 games)

    Nido .220/.270/.370/.640 improves a bit

    Alonso .270/.366/.575/.941 47 Homers 125 RBI

    Cano .285/.351/.470/.821 17 Homers (120 games)

    Rosario .287/.340/.450/.790 19 Homers

    McNeil .305/.374/.501/.875 21 Homers 42 doubles

    Davis .296/.352/.540/.892 22 Homers

    Cespedes .280/.349/.520/.869 17 Homers (82 games)

    Nimmo .268/.390/.471/.861 19 Homers

    Conforto .277/.374/.512/.886 35 Homers

    Lowrie .250/.331/.403/.734 9 Homers

    Marisnick .222/.279/.398/.677 8 homers


    Will change depending on who makes the team.

  11. #26
    Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    35,683
    Quote Originally Posted by Sick Of It All View Post
    I dunno about Crazy but Iíll put some of what I expect.

    deGrom 20-5 2.25 ERA wins third straight CY and the Mets finally give him run support.

    Syndergaard 17-9 3.20 ERA Finally he puts a full good year after a couple of mediocre ones.

    Stroman 14-8 3.55 ERA Solid year from him.

    Matz 7-7 3.95 ERA More of the same from Matz and misses some time.

    Porcello 8-9 4.35 ERA starts off well and then starts to suck.

    Wacka 7-4 3.77 ERA Is the swing guy starting for Matz and Porcello.

    Lugo 5-2 2.52 ERA continues to pitch great and is used in various roles.

    Diaz 1-3 2.35 ERA 42 saves Has the bounce back year we hoped for.

    Betances 4-5 3.30 ERA has a solid year but not as dominant as he was with Yanks.

    Familia 3-4 3.90 ERA bounces back a bit, but also not as good as he once was.

    Wilson 3-3 3.77 ERA

    Brach 1-2 4.40 ERA

    Gsellman 1-3 4.51 ERA

    Miscellaneous pitchers 4-3




    Ramos .290/.355/.470/.825(120 games)

    Nido .220/.270/.370/.640 improves a bit

    Alonso .270/.366/.575/.941 47 Homers 125 RBI

    Cano .285/.351/.470/.821 17 Homers (120 games)

    Rosario .287/.340/.450/.790 19 Homers

    McNeil .305/.374/.501/.875 21 Homers 42 doubles

    Davis .296/.352/.540/.892 22 Homers

    Cespedes .280/.349/.520/.869 17 Homers (82 games)

    Nimmo .268/.390/.471/.861 19 Homers

    Conforto .277/.374/.512/.886 35 Homers

    Lowrie .250/.331/.403/.734 9 Homers

    Marisnick .222/.279/.398/.677 8 homers


    Will change depending on who makes the team.
    If these predictions hold true thatís a juggernaut of a team. I hope youíre right.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

    Don't worry. He's got this.

  12. #27
    Join Date
    Aug 2008
    Posts
    47,295
    All pointless, meaningless numbers. FoC needs words, a narrative, a storyline, a plot, drama, and a conclusion.

    Anyone want to take a shot?

  13. #28
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Location
    The Boogie Down
    Posts
    108,387
    Quote Originally Posted by GottaBelieve View Post
    If these predictions hold true thatís a juggernaut of a team. I hope youíre right.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
    Yeah, itís probably my homerism.

    But likely as every year I also expect.

    1 pitcher missing most of the year.
    1 pitcher missing half the years.
    1 pitchers missing a third of the year.

    1 positional player ******** the bed completely.

    1 positional player missing more than 100 games.

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