On a Larger Note: Maybe I am being a pessimist but I seriously question the odds of success from this whole offseason in terms of fixing the offense. And let me explain
I put the odds at about here IMO.
MItch Starts and the offense succeeds - 15%
Foles starts and the offense succeeds - 35%
Neither Make the ofense a success - 50%
And I will break those numbers down
MItch at 15 % feels low. And at the beginning of the off season I would agree. Getting these QB guys in..... Defillipo and Lazar. Seems like a good start for hoping that you can get Mitch to make that turn. But I am slowly becoming more wary of this. Mainly because of how crazy this off season might become. These two may have very little time to get with and mold Mitch into anything better. I still think there is a chance that Mitch Steps up on his own. Maybe becomes more aggressive. Less hesitant.... IDK. I mean we have kinda seen he is almost better with his back against the wall. there have been multiple games where he plays pretty well when you need it the most. and This could still happen. Much like when Alex Smiths MVP season came after a top draft pick was added. So I think 15% is reasonable. However as we loose more and more time to this virus I am slowly lowering that number.
Foles at 35..... Yes this is nearly double mitch. I would have had it closer at the beginning of the offseason but like i said less time.... is actually a favor to Foles IMO. Foles we know can be a solid QB who probably wont win you games but also wont loose to many for you either. He will probably move the sticks. He will Make the right reads. SO I am willing to say its more likely that he ends up the starter and the offense finds success........ BUT I also want to acknowledge that There is a good chance that an AVERAGE QB isnt enough
50% chance that the offense doesnt right itself. And Honestly This feels high but I am that personally skeptical. We still have Nagy who has been the most stuborn person in the world. We have seen no real glipse of this offense getting better... evolving.... or righting its ship. Last offseason the talk was all about correcting the run game and it was howard to blame. But somehow it got worse. Why does nobody Blame Nagy for this. Somehow you give Nagy HIS CHOICE of RBs and it does not fix the issue at all. And Maybe I am less sold on the idea that the OL coach is so to blame for this. or the offensive Coordinator. Yes we have changed those two but we still have basically the same front line up there. Pending our RG who honestly im unsure if IFedi will be an upgrade. AND AT THIS POINT MENTIONING THE LACK OF OFFSEASON IS HUGE IN REALIZING even if Castillo is a genius he has very little to no time to actually make the changes necessary to right the ship. But even so I tend to think Nagy is more to blame. You cant tell me he doesnt get pass happy. I mean he did have mitch drop back 50+ times in a 1 score Opening night last year. You can tell me Mitch is to blame or MItch is the problem but he sure did show faith in Mitch that game. But most of all. With the Lack of the offense seeming to have corrected the major running game issue that arose when Nagy got here. You cant tell me that if this isnt fixed (which is a huge question mark) that Foles is going to lead a pass happy offense. Mitch either. I have said it b4 and will say it again. the only player in this offseason who could lead a pass happy offense is Brady...... Maybe winston although his deficiency are valid. I mean..... the Jags gave this guy a huge deal to be their franchise QB and gave up after a year. The most any other team was willing to give up was a 5th in Indy. We should be able to recognize that nobody really expect him to be great. And if he isnt GREAT..... and the Run game still SUCKS.... the offense will still have issues.
Maybe I am wrong though..... Maybe we should blame the OC and OL coach alone. Maybe Castillo is going to fix all the issues. Maybe we can actually run the ball in 2020. But I have serious doubts. And if we cant run the ball this offense will not function pass happy with Mitch.... or Foles. PERIOD.