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View Poll Results: How many games do the Cubs win?

Voters
5. You may not vote on this poll
  • 4: Back to 2nd best in the NL.

    1 20.00%
  • 3: Hey we finally ****ing won another series.

    3 60.00%
  • 2: More Splits

    1 20.00%
  • 1: This is depressing

    0 0%
  • 0: Trade everybody

    0 0%
Page 69 of 69 FirstFirst ... 1959676869
Results 1,021 to 1,033 of 1033
  1. #1021
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Posts
    8,192
    Quote Originally Posted by ChiTownPacerFan View Post
    You are what your record says you are. Our record does not show that we're a really good team. It shows that we're slightly above average.

    The problem is looking at major stat categories and thinking it tells the whole story. You pointed out that we're 3rd in OPS in the NL. You could argue that we're 2nd with Colorado being a fraction of a point ahead of us and playing at Coors. We're also 2nd in the NL in team ERA. Simply going off of those stats, we should be an elite-elite team. But are record isn't very good.

    This happens in every sport. Great stats don't tell anyone if you're doing the little things right that help teams win. It seems like no one actually watches games anymore, they just look up stats to evaluate players and teams. Our offense doesn't do any of the stuff right that doesn't show up in the box score (Yes, I know our guys go first to third a lot). There's no nuance to our offense. There's no intelligence to our approach. There's no smart at bats, which was my original point. I'm not saying we have bad offensive players, quite the contrary. We have amazingly talented players who put up good numbers because of their raw ability and in spite of a flawed offensive approach. As long as they continue to play like this, they will fail to be that elite-elite team they have every bit of talent to be.
    Run differential does a better job of conveying "who you are" than W-L record.

    My bigger point however is that it's hard to conceive of some sort of deficit in nebulous concepts like "little things" and "nuance" and "approach" that costs the Cubs games, but yet is undetectable statistically.

    One would think a bad approach, or failure to do little things, would lead to losses AND bad stats too. But here the bad approach doesn't cause bad stats at all, just losses.

    Conceptually, it doesn't resonate with me that it could work that way.

  2. #1022
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Posts
    8,192
    Quote Originally Posted by La_bibbers View Post
    By month, the Cubs haven't gone under .500

    Mar/Apr 15-11
    May 16-12
    Jun 13-13

    Even if partitioning the season down makes sense for an argument of some kind, why bother breaking it down into any smaller sample than that?
    Calendar months is an arbitrary partition in and of itself. Common, of course, but nonetheless arbitrary.

  3. #1023
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    792
    Anyone know what the SoS looks like moving forward? Other than the hope of positive regression, do we play an easier schedule moving forward?

  4. #1024
    Join Date
    Nov 2014
    Posts
    8,999
    Quote Originally Posted by davearm View Post
    Calendar months is an arbitrary partition in and of itself. Common, of course, but nonetheless arbitrary.
    Yes it is.

    There’s a thousand different ways we could slice and dice up the schedule to fit whatever narrative we want.

    If you take out any teams best period, they’ll look a lot worse. If you take out any team’s worst period, they’ll look a lot better. Just use it all.

  5. #1025
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    Posts
    3,541
    Quote Originally Posted by JHBulls View Post
    We’ve had 2 losing months since 2016.

    That doesn’t include March this year, it included a 1-2 start and March/April (15-12) is usually combined anyway. It also doesn’t include October 2017 and 2018 where we had 1 regular season game each and lost both times.
    The only losing months since the start of 2015:
    July 2016 & May 2017

  6. #1026
    Join Date
    Nov 2014
    Posts
    8,999

    6/24-6/27: Braves (46-32) at Cubs (42-35) IGT

    Quote Originally Posted by jfoley89 View Post
    Anyone know what the SoS looks like moving forward? Other than the hope of positive regression, do we play an easier schedule moving forward?
    Probably about the same. Done with the Dodgers and Marlins. Everybody else in the NL, except SF, is different levels of decent to good.

  7. #1027
    Join Date
    Nov 2014
    Posts
    8,999
    Quote Originally Posted by Cubboy View Post
    The only losing months since the start of 2015:
    July 2016 & May 2017
    Take 2/3 with weekend to avoid a 3rd one.

  8. #1028
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    792
    Quote Originally Posted by CP_414 View Post
    Take 2/3 with weekend to avoid a 3rd one.
    Here's hoping. It seems we always struggle with the Reds.

  9. #1029
    Join Date
    Dec 2012
    Posts
    6,538
    KB 1000 OPS last 50 games, 11 bombs, .315 average.

  10. #1030
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Posts
    792
    Quote Originally Posted by PeanutPunch33 View Post
    KB 1000 OPS last 50 games, 11 bombs, .315 average.
    I've never been happier to be wrong in my life. Glad the shoulder isn't going to be a lingering issue

  11. #1031
    Join Date
    Dec 2010
    Posts
    25,612
    https://blogs.fangraphs.com/craig-ki...-off-the-rust/

    Fangraphs review of Kimbrel's debut

  12. #1032
    Join Date
    Jan 2006
    Posts
    12,229

    6/24-6/27: Braves (46-32) at Cubs (42-35) IGT

    Quote Originally Posted by Cubboy View Post
    The only losing months since the start of 2015:
    July 2016 & May 2017
    Somehow I started from 2016 when the “window” started in 2015. So 4 and a half years and only 2 losing months. Impressive stuff whether or not you look at month to month record when it comes to measuring consistency.

  13. #1033
    Join Date
    Feb 2019
    Posts
    4
    I vote : Hey we finally ****ing won another series.

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