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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Aug 2004
    The Boogie Down

    Top 50 Pitching Prospects for 2007
    2007 Top 50 Pitchers in Review
    By John Sickels
    Posted on Sun Jan 13, 2008 at 05:17:23 PM CDT

    This is the Top 50 pitchers list from LAST YEAR.. I'm reviewing it to see how I did. The 2008 list is, of course, in the 2008 Baseball Prospect Book available only at I am fine-tuning the list, and it will be sent to everyone who orders the book and provides a valid email address this week.

    Top 50 Pitching Prospects for 2007

    1) Philip Hughes, RHP, New York Yankees
    Went 5-3, 4.46 in 73 innings for the Yankees, 58/29 K/BB. Assuming good health, he has a very very bright future.

    2) Matt Garza, RHP, Minnesota Twins
    Went 5-7, 3.69 with a 67/32 K/BB in 83 innings for the Twins. Now traded to Tampa Bay. Like Hughes, assuming he stays healthy he should be really good.

    3) Yovani Gallardo, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers
    Went 9-5, 3.67 with a 101/37 K/BB in 110 innings for the Brewers. Nothing to complain about here, he's really good, too.

    4) Homer Bailey, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
    Undone by command problems in his major league trial, with a 28/28 K/BB in 45 innings. It all boils down to command & health. A bright future.

    5) Tim Lincecum, RHP, San Francisco Giants
    7-5, 4.00 in 146 innings with the Giants, 150/65 K/BB. Outstanding stuff, will thrive if command improves a bit more.

    6) Adam Miller, RHP, Cleveland Indians
    4.82 ERA with 68/21 K/BB in 65 innings for Triple-A Buffalo, undone by injuries. Health is obviously the key here.

    7) Andrew Miller, LHP, Detroit Tigers
    5.63 ERA with 56/39 K/BB in 64 innings. Traded to Florida. He's capable of much better than this.

    8) Mike Pelfrey, RHP, New York Mets
    5.57 ERA with 45/39 K/BB in 73 innings. Command and his breaking ball remain issues. Needs a change of scenery.

    9) Clayton Kershaw, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
    Pitched brilliantly in the Midwest League, 2.77 ERA with 134/50 K/BB in 97 innings, then held his own in Double-A. Needs better control but tremendous stuff stands out.

    10) Luke Hochevar, RHP, Kansas City Royals
    Erratic season in Double-A and Triple-A, went 4-9, with 4.86 ERA but a 138/47 K/BB. Gave up 163 hits. More hittable than expected but showed good control.

    11) Eric Hurley, RHP, Texas Rangers
    Combined to go 11-9, 4.00 between Double-A and Triple-A, with 135/55 K/BB in 162 innings. Still a bright future if fly ball tendencies don't kill him in Texas.

    12) Scott Elbert, LHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
    Missed season with labrum injury.

    13) Chuck Lofgren, LHP, Cleveland Indians
    Went 12-7, 4.37 with 123/68 K/BB in 146 innings for Double-A Akron. Not as good as anticipated, due to occasional command troubles.

    14) John Danks, LHP, Chicago White Sox
    Went 6-13, 5.50 with 109/54 K/BB in 139 innings for the White Sox. Paid the price for being rushed. Should improve if he stays healthy and confident.

    15) Jason Hirsh, RHP, Colorado Rockies
    Went 5-7, 4.81 with 75/48 K/BB in 112 innings for the Rockies. Should improve if he stays healthy and confident.

    16) Phil Humber, RHP, New York Mets
    Went 11-9, 4.27 with a 120/44 K/BB in 139 innings for Triple-A New Orleans. Developing into an inning-eater, not an ace.

    17) Franklin Morales, LHP, Colorado Rockies
    Went 5-4, 3.51 with 93/58 K/BB in 113 innings between Double-A and Triple-A. Looked very good in major league trial, with electric stuff from left side.

    18) Jacob McGee, LHP, Tampa Bay Devil Rays
    Combined 8-6, 3.15 with 175/52 K/BB in 140 innings between Class A Vero Beach and Double-A Montgomery. Solidified status as one of top southpaws in the minors.

    19) Michael Bowden, RHP, Boston Red Sox
    Blitzed the Cal League, then went 8-6, 4.28 in 19 starts for Double-A Portland, combined K/BB of 128/41 in 143 innings. A good year, but was overshadowed by others.

    20) Clay Buchholz, RHP, Boston Red Sox
    Pushed past organization-mate Bowden, destroyed the minors and threw a no-hitter in the Show. Currently the best pitching prospects in baseball.

    21) Matt Albers, RHP, Houston Astros
    Went 4-11, 5.86 with the Astros with a 71/50 K/BB in 111 innings. Good stuff, command a major problem.

    22) Brandon Morrow, RHP, Seattle Mariners
    Unexpectedly made Mariners bullpen in spring training, posted 4.12 ERA in 60 games but with 66/50 K/BB in 63 innings. Great stuff, but command is shaky.

    23) Wade Davis, RHP, Tampa Bay Devil Rays
    Combined to go 10-3, 2.50 with 169/51 K/BB in 158 innings between Vero Beach and Montgomery. A very fine prospect, one of many in the pitching-rich Tampa Bay system.

    24) Sean West, LHP, Florida Marlins
    Season lost to labrum surgery.

    25) Humberto Sanchez, RHP, New York Yankees
    Blew out elbow, had Tommy John surgery.

    26) Jeff Niemann, RHP, Tampa Bay Devil Rays
    Went 12-6, 3.98 with 123/46 K/BB in 131 innings for Triple-A Durham. Should be a good inning-eater.

    27) Nick Adenhart, RHP, Los Angeles Angels
    Went 10-8, 3.65 with 116/65 K/BB in 153 innings for Double-A Arkansas. Should be a good inning-eater.

    28) Craig Hansen, RHP, Boston Red Sox
    3.86 ERA with 48/32 K/BB in 51 innings for Triple-A Pawtucket. Command issues a big problem here, but he gets a ton of ground balls and still has a chance to be special.

    29) Donald Veal, LHP, Chicago Cubs
    Went 8-10, 4.97 with 131/73 K/BB in 130 innings for Double-A Tennessee. Mechanical breakdown hurt his command. Still intriguing.

    30) Troy Patton, LHP, Houston Astros
    Went 10-8, 3.51 with 94/44 K/BB in 151 innings between Double-A Corpus Christi and Triple-A Round Rock. A solid prospect but probably won't turn into an ace.

    31) Carlos Carrasco, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
    Pitched great in A-ball, but command fell apart after promotion to Double-A, as shown by weak 49/46 K/BB in 70 innings for Reading. Still promising in the long run.

    32) Brandon Erbe, RHP, Baltimore Orioles
    Was horrible in the Carolina League due to control problems, posted 6.26 ERA with 111/62 K/BB in 119 innings. Should rebound if healthy.

    33) Kevin Slowey, RHP, Minnesota Twins
    Lights-out in Triple-A (1.89 ERA in 20 starts) but needed time to adjust to the majors. If he can get the home runs under control, could be the new Brad Radke.

    34) Brad Lincoln, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates
    Blew out elbow, had Tommy John surgery.

    35) Tyler Clippard, RHP, New York Yankees
    Went 6-5, 4.50 with 83/47 K/BB combined between Double-A Trenton and Triple-A Scranton. Component marks slipped, and was probably overrated at this slot on the list.

    36) Mitch Talbot, RHP, Tampa Bay Devil Rays
    Horrible start hurt his numbers, but finished with a 13-9, 4.53 mark and a 124/59 K/BB in 161 innings for AAA Durham. Still a decent prospect.

    37) Glen Perkins, LHP, Minnesota Twins
    Limited to 29 innings in the majors by injuries, but pitched well (3.14 ERA). Rehab work in the minors resulted in 6.52 ERA in 19 innings. A good pitcher if healthy.

    38) Sean Gallagher, RHP, Chicago Cubs
    Went 10-3, 3.10 with 91/37 K/BB in 102 innings between Double-A Tennessee and Triple-A Iowa. A solid inning-eater type.

    39) Gio Gonzalez, LHP, Chicago White Sox
    Posted 3.18 ERA with 185/57 K/BB in 150 innings for Double-A Birmingham, erasing doubts following erratic '06 campaign.

    40) Edinson Volquez, RHP, Texas Rangers
    Rebuilt his mechanics, went 14-6, 3.67 with 186/60 K/BB in 145 minor league innings. Great stuff, all boils down to command, just like before.

    41) Matt Harrison, LHP, Atlanta Braves
    Went 5-7, 3.39 with 78/34 K/BB in 117 innings. Traded to Rangers, had some shoulder trouble but was healthy by the Arizona Fall League.

    42) Chris Volstad, RHP, Florida Marlins
    Went 12-11, 4.16 with 118/47 K/BB in 169 innings between Class A Jupiter and Double-A Carolina. Remains highly projectable.

    43) Will Inman, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers
    Traded to Padres. Combined mark of 8-11, 3.28 for three minor league teams with 180/58 K/BB in 159 innings. Some Double-A struggles raise doubts, but still very young.

    44) Jon Meloan, RHP, Los Angeles Dodgers
    Top closer prospect posted 2.03 ERA and 91/27 K/BB in 67 innings with 20 saves in the minors. Savage slider and good fastball stand out.

    45) Garrett Olson, LHP, Baltimore Orioles
    Hammered in the majors, but very effective in Triple-A, 3.16 ERA with 120/39 K/BB for Norfolk. Will get more chances in the Show.

    46) Cesar Carrillo, RHP, San Diego Padres
    Blew out elbow, had Tommy John surgery.

    47) Jimmy Barthmaier, RHP, Houston Astros
    He was horrible in Double-A, 6.20 ERA with 73/44 K/BB in 90 innings, 116 hits. Was clobbered in the Arizona Fall League, too. Have to wonder if he's healthy.

    48) Joey Devine, RHP, Atlanta Braves
    1.89 ERA with 78/19 K/BB in 57 innings, 20 saves between Double-A and Triple-A. Can still be a major league closer if command and confidence hold up.

    49) Pat Neshek, RHP, Minnesota Twins
    Excellent year in the Minnesota bullpen.

    50) Anthony Swarzak, RHP, Minnesota Twins
    Season clouded by drug suspension, but he pitched well, with 3.23 ERA and 76/23 K/BB in 86 Double-A innings.

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Jan 2008
    how is Justin Masterson not on this list? Hard throwing sinkerballer is Derek Lowe with a higher ceiling and hes tearing up double A right now.

    ^^ Best sports website on the internet

  3. #3
    That was Sickels' 2007 list, not 2008. A good number of those pitchers on that list are no longer prospects.
    My blog- analysis of the San Francisco Giants, Baseball, and Sabermetrics.

  4. #4
    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    buchholz UNDER bowden??

  5. #5
    Join Date
    Aug 2007
    New York
    Quote Originally Posted by NE24 View Post
    buchholz UNDER bowden??
    They are 19-20. It really doesn't matter

  6. #6
    Join Date
    Apr 2008
    New York
    Hughes isn't living up to the potential yet

  7. #7
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    San Diego, CA
    Quote Originally Posted by NE24 View Post
    buchholz UNDER bowden??
    I'm not sure people are understanding that this is a review of rankings that were put together BEFORE THE 2007 SEASON. The author is looking at his 2007 pitching prospect rankings and evaluating how he did.

  8. #8
    Join Date
    Feb 2004
    Akron, Ohio
    Quote Originally Posted by Padres Son View Post
    I'm not sure people are understanding that this is a review of rankings that were put together BEFORE THE 2007 SEASON. The author is looking at his 2007 pitching prospect rankings and evaluating how he did.
    Both Adam & Andrew Miller would be lower in a current ranking.

  9. #9
    Join Date
    Jul 2007
    As a Sox fan, Buchholz would be higher, Hansen lower, and Masterson on the list (above Bowden) in a current ranking

  10. #10
    Join Date
    Mar 2008
    way to go rangers!

  11. #11
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    san diego
    Quote Originally Posted by IndiansFan337 View Post
    Both Adam & Andrew Miller would be lower in a current ranking.
    and lincecum would be #1, or maybe #2 behind kershaw but i would have him at #1. he is 6-1 on the giants, 2nd in the MLB in K's and 3rd in the MLB in ERA.

  12. #12
    Join Date
    May 2008
    1) Volquez
    2) Lincecum
    3) Joba

  13. #13
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Linecum pwns that list this year.

  14. #14
    Join Date
    Mar 2007
    Volquez pwns that list this year...only because he is ranked #40

  15. #15
    Join Date
    Nov 2004
    #8 Pelfrey is pitching much better

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