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Type: Posts; User: twellner9

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  1. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I guess I'd argue that the shift has been a...

    I guess I'd argue that the shift has been a bigger contribution to offensive struggles than better pitching has been.

    And to me, the change in approach was analytically driven (part of which was...
  2. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: No doubt there's a time and place for focusing on...

    No doubt there's a time and place for focusing on extra base hits, but as a whole the homerun/strikeout approach has decreased runs. Analytics not only focus on run probability but also try to...
  3. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: But the ball was changed this year, so looking at...

    But the ball was changed this year, so looking at last season's statistics is irrelevant. ERA numbers across the league are up near half a run a game this season. If you look at the previous 5...
  4. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Pitcher may be throwing harder, but I think we...

    Pitcher may be throwing harder, but I think we can all agree the breaking stuff isn't the same anymore. The ball is different. As a whole pitching is worse than it was 15 years ago.

    And even if...
  5. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: You can win while playing under stress and you...

    You can win while playing under stress and you can lose playing loose. The two aren't mutually exclusive. I'd argue the Patriots aren't a loose group at all and they win more than anyone. The...
  6. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Tried to tell you the team lacked energy and an...

    Tried to tell you the team lacked energy and an "it" factor ;). Suter, as well as guys like Spangenberg, have provided some much needed energy. Plus I like the different approaches we've had at the...
  7. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: But even if we did exceed expectations a year...

    But even if we did exceed expectations a year ago, the bigger problem is that in a year where the Cubs have also been really poor we couldn't take advantage. We didn't need to win 96 games this...
  8. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: This team is just missing something compared to...

    This team is just missing something compared to last season, and I don't necessarily think its a talent issue. There's just an it factor we don't have. Was joking with a friend that Travis Shaw was...
  9. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Braun has an OPS over 1.000 since the All-Star...

    Braun has an OPS over 1.000 since the All-Star break. He definitely should be in the middle of the order right now. He's been far better than Moose. (granted Braun is batting .457 when batting 6th so...
  10. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: He's also had back and thumb issues this season...

    He's also had back and thumb issues this season too. He just takes a break when he feels them start to flare up. Not sure why we can't just take that same approach all season.
  11. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Wasn't he hurt plenty of times last year despite...

    Wasn't he hurt plenty of times last year despite the rest? So I'm okay with rest once in a while, but in critical games against the Cardinals? 2/3 games in a critical series? No one needs that much...
  12. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I don't quite understand the way CC is managing...

    I don't quite understand the way CC is managing the starting rotation this season. I get that the analytics say that the third time through the order guys tend to get hit more, but he doesn't even...
  13. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I don't see why we'd look to trade Braun unless...

    I don't see why we'd look to trade Braun unless we're trying to cut payroll. We need his bat. He's been basically as good offensively as Yelich since the All-Star break. Its a huge reason why I...
  14. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I don't see Betances getting that much. I think...

    I don't see Betances getting that much. I think he's much more likely to fetch around $9-10M. Anything more than that and you're right, its a hard pass.

    My point is that I'd much rather go out...
  15. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: You know me, I'm always looking for bullpen help....

    You know me, I'm always looking for bullpen help. Can't ever have enough. Love to see us go get Betances this off-season. I don't think we can assume Knebel is back to the same level and Hader...
  16. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I also think they're going to need to move Braun....

    I also think they're going to need to move Braun. Braun is still the likely first basemen next season IMO. Gotta hope Huira gets better. Figure we hope for a bounce back from Shaw to play 3B. Catcher...
  17. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Correct, that's exactly what I'm asking for. I...

    Correct, that's exactly what I'm asking for. I think it makes more sense to go in with the approach of having a few solid guys, a few guys with ace potential and roll the dice that way than it does...
  18. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Sorry if I wasn't clear on this point, but I...

    Sorry if I wasn't clear on this point, but I think Burnes has #1 or #2 stuff and could eventually get there. That doesn't mean we need to put him as our #2 starter next year, just means I think he...
  19. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Burnes has a decent curveball. His pitching...

    Burnes has a decent curveball. His pitching splits are okay. He throws 57% fastballs, 31% sliders, 8% curveballs, and 4% changeups.

    While his changeup/curve are not elite, they are plenty...
  20. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I agree, I see plenty of front end guys out of...

    I agree, I see plenty of front end guys out of our young group. Specifically I think both Woodruff and Burnes have elite stuff. I know Burnes had a down year but the pitch analytics indicate he...
  21. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I'm not terribly worried about the future. I...

    I'm not terribly worried about the future. I think our young starting pitching options are plentiful enough that I'm hopeful we can improve from within. I am still high on Burnes. I think what I've...
  22. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Agreed. I find this Brewers team incredibly...

    Agreed. I find this Brewers team incredibly boring to watch. I stood by for years while we were in last place and found those teams more exciting. This is the worst baseball has to offer IMO. To...
  23. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: Brewers flat out need to be better at putting the...

    Brewers flat out need to be better at putting the ball in play. Just hitting homeruns or striking out isn't good enough. The offense doesn't produce nearly enough when we're not hitting homeruns.
    ...
  24. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: I agree. This is what we do. We both get stuck on...

    I agree. This is what we do. We both get stuck on one little point when we mostly agree with the entire argument. Honestly I enjoy it even if we don't make much progress.

    Last point I'm going to...
  25. Thread: 2019 Season

    by twellner9
    Replies
    237
    Views
    11,604

    Sticky: But once again, I don't believe you can strictly...

    But once again, I don't believe you can strictly look at team ERA numbers because we use so much long relief is games we're trailing. The issue to me isn't the bullpen performance as a whole, but...
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