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Type: Posts; User: Stratos

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  1. Replies
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    Sticky: That's what a lot of guys say before the money...

    That's what a lot of guys say before the money starts getting thrown around. I doubt the Cubs have to convince Ohtani they're going to be competitive. He'll know they'll start spending again soon...
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    Sticky: That's not my premise those are just guesses, we...

    That's not my premise those are just guesses, we don't know what he'll get, which is why I said the Cubs need to run the exact numbers. It all depends on what the Cubs have to give up and what an...
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    Sticky: Sure, but Ohtani making ie 10m a year in 1st year...

    Sure, but Ohtani making ie 10m a year in 1st year arbitration vs 50 million in an extension changes the value calculation substantially.
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    Sticky: I'm just being devil's advocate. What the Cubs...

    I'm just being devil's advocate.

    What the Cubs need to do is run the numbers. Figure out Ohtani's WAR or whatever stat they use, then project future performance over length of a contract based on...
  5. Sticky: The Cubs like Morel up the middle defensively...

    The Cubs like Morel up the middle defensively rather than 3B or OF. But he also has a better arm for 3B than Madrigal.

    Wisdom had a horrible year defensively at 3B, I don't think he should play...
  6. Sticky: I also think it's possible Nico doesn't do as...

    I also think it's possible Nico doesn't do as well in the defensive metrics at SS next year with the shift banned because he will be playing true SS all of the time with the longer throws rather than...
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    Sticky: If you're a team in contention, typically every...

    If you're a team in contention, typically every season at the deadline you'll be looking to trade prospects for MLB talent to fill holes. The Cubs did it about every season during their last window....
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    Sticky: I dunno man. We have to also extend him...

    I dunno man. We have to also extend him basically at FA prices, which means he really won't have any surplus value except maybe next season. He'll want 10 years I assume (until age 38). So 4-5...
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    Sticky: Probably, but they will ask for at least multiple...

    Probably, but they will ask for at least multiple in our top 5, plus more.
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    Sticky: I'd dunno about that, he's also better than Soto,...

    I'd dunno about that, he's also better than Soto, probably by a pretty good amount. The only thing is the difference in prime years if Soto extends.
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    Sticky: I dunno, if I were Ohtani i'd test free agency. ...

    I dunno, if I were Ohtani i'd test free agency. Also, his contract value/AAV is very hard to gauge since he's unique, it would be hard for his agent to know if any extension offer is fair or not...
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    Sticky: If he'd extend I'd trade maybe a couple of our...

    If he'd extend I'd trade maybe a couple of our top 10 for him. But I wouldn't gut the farm. I think the Angels will ask the moon for him and someone will give it to them.

    edit: okay maybe 3 of...
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    Sticky: He has weird short follow-through in his swing.

    He has weird short follow-through in his swing.
  14. Replies
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    Sticky: I wouldn't want to gut our farm system for an...

    I wouldn't want to gut our farm system for an extra year of Ohtani.
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    Sticky: I think we're more than 1 bat away even if we...

    I think we're more than 1 bat away even if we kept Contreras.

    Mervis next year is an unknown but he should be better than the horrible production we got there this year. DH, CF, and 3B weren't...
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    Sticky: Yeah I agree i doubt they can quantify a lot of...

    Yeah I agree i doubt they can quantify a lot of catcher defense right now but I'm sure they're trying. But it's very subjective and qualitative. It's like trying to quantify the value of a manager,...
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    Sticky: I don't really know. Catcher is probably the one...

    I don't really know. Catcher is probably the one position that you can't judge on stats alone. They brought in Yan Gomes partly because he's a good defensive veteran catcher and his value at...
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    Sticky: Edit: sorry didn't see 1908's reply before my...

    Edit: sorry didn't see 1908's reply before my post.

    Impossible to know since we're not privy to contract negotiations. All the possible scenarios I can think of:

    1. Cubs gave him a fair...
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    Sticky: Morel yeah but Velazquez i dunno, he's been...

    Morel yeah but Velazquez i dunno, he's been useless. If he makes the team it's because he can play CF. They might have to acquire some cheap bench CF. But if we acquire a starting CF I'd be ok...
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    Sticky: I'm sure Sampson is overachieving right now...

    I'm sure Sampson is overachieving right now obviously. His stuff is pretty average and he usually gives up more HR/9. But as a #5 or swing guy who can put up maybe a 4.50 ERA he's decent guy to...
  21. Sticky: Rick Sutcliffe is a large but affable mentally...

    Rick Sutcliffe is a large but affable mentally tarted rooster.

    He's red Big Bird that drinks beer.
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    Sticky: I can only assume the Yanks were batting Judge...

    I can only assume the Yanks were batting Judge leadoff partly so he would get the most PAs to beat Maris's.

    Contreras was batting leadoff today. I bet Rossy is trying to get Willy as many PAs as...
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    Sticky: I'd strongly consider shutting him down. The...

    I'd strongly consider shutting him down. The amount of pitching injuries in this team this year has been unreal. Pretty much all teams put in some measures last year to lessen pitcher workload but...
  24. Sticky: Velocity down 3 mph this year and last

    Velocity down 3 mph this year and last
  25. Sticky: We have to assume the Cubs have had people in...

    We have to assume the Cubs have had people in Japan with machines doing statcast type stuff on his pitches. His stats aren't that meaningful, they have to run the guns on him and see how his stuff,...
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