Well, here goes.
So, Cody Bellinger has had a dumpster fire of a season, but not all is lost. I’ll share some videos and then tie it all in together at the end…
This a Cody homer from 3 years ago…
You can see it’s a bit of an uncontrolled swing
https://youtu.be/HitnKzkliO4
This one is from his MVP year…
https://youtu.be/Ushu6j7RX64
This one is from last year…
https://youtu.be/rEQmSaHWnEU
There are a number of differences you can see off the bat between the three videos.
Again, the first one is a bit uncontrolled; he’s trying to create as much leverage as possible and it shows when his back foot comes off the ground on the finish. I’m also not a big fan of where his eyes finish - he’s still watching the ball. More on this below…
The second clip, from his MVP year, is much more controlled. I like this clip juxtaposed next to the one above because while the first video shows that patented extension, the second shows his ability to adjust to the inside fastball while still generating a ton of leverage. He also does a better job of keeping his hands back to stay loaded until he gets his front foot down. IMO, he still brings his head up a bit too early, but it’s better.
The third clip is actually my favorite swing despite coming in a down year. In the 3rd video he puts it all together, tucks his chin and keeps his head down all the way through the swing while that bat takes a perfectly orbital path around his head - almost like the rings around Saturn.
When I put these three videos together, there are some things that are consistent across the board.
1. Generating Leverage - Cody starts high. This is key. Whereas most people are striding forward from a more athletic position, his step forward provides additional organic leverage by also bringing him downward toward the ball on his step.
2. Stride - he’s got a big stride, but his front foot doesn’t land hard; he’s not jabbing at the ground or digging in which allows him to keep his weight back.
3. Stays Loaded - During the step forward, his hands stay back, his back knee isn’t dropping in too early, and his hips stay closed.
4. The combination of forward leverage with his hands and weight largely back sets up the explosiveness when finally does drop the back knee in and allows his hips to uncoil
5. First Hips, Then Hands - the old Cody doesn’t “fly open” with hands and hips at once. He lands the step softly, then turns his hips, and allows that hip turn to help pull his hands through the zone.
6. Tucks The Chin - Cody keeps his head down and tucks his chin. Again, the third video is the best example of this as he stays tucked all the way through contact and doesn’t pull off to watch the ball.
7. Gets On Plane Early - This is something that a lot of people seem to miss as a key component of hitting. People talk about his “uppercut swing”. To be clear “swing up”, should not be confused for an “uppercut”. Though I largely consider this to be nuance, I will go to my grave saying there is no such thing as an “uppercut swing”. An “uppercut swing” implies that one is always swinging with an upward bat path. In reality, no one starts with their hands and bat below the ball. Our hands start high, come down to the ball, then finish high. Whether you’re hitting the ball on your upward or downward trajectory is largely dependent on whether you’re ahead or behind the pitch. No one is hitting the ball on an upward trajectory when they are late on the pitch. Enough ranting; the gist is that Cody gets planed out early, as evidenced by the second clip, which allows him to stay in the zone longer, make the necessary adjustment to shorten up, and hits a homer with a level swing.
8. Allows Front Ankle To Turnover - this allows him to generate more leverage by providing an extra layer on his follow through.
9. Finishes High and Finishes Back - I think this one speaks for itself
Now, what is wrong with Cody this year and how can he fix it?
A couple of things.
Look at Cody in these videos from the last 3 years and compare him to 2021 Cody. The weight loss is evident. Anyone who thinks that shoulder surgery won’t impact weight and ability to sustain muscle has never been to a gym in their life. I bet he’s about 15-20 lbs lighter than his typical playing weight. Outside of the fact that he’s not had great luck with injury since last year, the weight might be the single biggest contributor to his down year.
I think the combination of the weight loss and compensation for a shoulder that’s not back to full strength might be what’s convinced him to try to take different approaches with his batting stance. Clearly, he doesn’t believe he’s getting the same leverage this year.
Secondly, an extenuating circumstance from the above, is that he’s generating weak contact. He’s behind on a lot of pitches and isn’t planing out as well this year. When he’s not missing altogether, he’s often driving them into the ground or lifting them straight up. He’s got to get back to a more consistent level swing.
Lastly, many of these components that stand out across all three of these clips are missing altogether. Though he has a tendency to pull his head off the ball, even in successful years, it’s been really bad this year.
Now, I’ve long been a proponent of Cody Bellinger’s bat; since he was a nobody on the farm I’ve been raving about his swing mechanics. At the same time, I’ve always cautioned that he carries the potential to have a high peak and a short prime because he’s pretty thin and his swing requires so much torque it seemed injuries were inevitable. Still, it’s comical that anyone would take this season as his worth and write him off already.
It’s comical that anyone would compare this guy, who is fully capable of getting back to this, to Chris Davis. Anyone making that comparison clearly doesn’t know what they’re looking at and are only focusing on results at the plate.
For good measure, I just thought it was worthwhile to show a video of Cody putting all of these things together THIS YEAR.
https://youtu.be/0ROKU0LwSuE
Clearly he is still capable of replicating that swing, he’s just had a rough go. A full offseason of recovery and training likely helps him get back some strength, confidence, and the consistency he hasn’t been able to find this year.. Will he be an MVP? Probably not. Will his bat be valuable? That is very likely.