Originally Posted by
Scoots
I didn't say they are approaching the number of corona deaths. The problem comes in where the balance is not that the balance is entirely the other way.
So in some groups suicide rates are half way to your 600%, also drug related deaths are up a similar amount in some groups, so I suspect it's closer than most people think, but also there is an assumption in what you are saying that a 30% reduction in corona restriction would result in a linear increase on one side and a smaller decrease on the other side.
The long term effects of the personal and economic damage are likely going to have a much longer lifespan than this virus does so the death toll is not a "this year" sort of a thing. I've seen some estimates that the economic impact may be a decades long recovery while the vaccine may end corona as a major concern next month.
I know a few sociologists psychologists who work in the drug abuse field and they are experts and they are watching people turn down roads that they know will lead to their eventual death because of the decisions being made by governments today, and their governments are ignoring their pleas (California and Washington state). Oregon just passed a change in their laws that allows them to move money from enforcement to helping people but it's gotten so bad there that it's not uncommon for regular non-drug using people to be carrying around narcan so they can maybe save someone's life overdosing on the street.
Corona is a disaster and a nightmare no question, but it's going to leave in it's wake another massive disaster and nightmare and it's not getting enough coverage, and people saying it's a conservative issue is total bull ****.
The reality is that we don't know what the effects will be by making other choices. I don't see how thinking about those things