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  • Andrei00's Avatar
    Yesterday, 07:13 PM
    For the 2018 season, the team with the lowest rate of 3-and-outs across the league had it at 23%. Even if you think Tampa matches that, 23% is still...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    Yesterday, 06:28 PM
    :laugh2: So it's not just that I have a reading comprehension issue, but apparently misusing words and then act like we haven't been going through...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    Yesterday, 04:11 PM
    That's your quote. If the most optimal path for both would involve a 3-and-out, but a 3-and-out is not required for one of the cases, that makes it...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    Yesterday, 11:23 AM
    I did. After you claimed that having to defend the FG instead of a 3-and-out as the deciding factor and advantage to going for it. And, no, they are...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    Yesterday, 10:18 AM
    Which is what I disagreed with, in the first place. The model is clearly not perfectly built in this case, which is what I've tried over and over to...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    Yesterday, 09:29 AM
    What the BA and another poster was arguing (and then forgot he was doing it, 'cause that's the attention span of a 10-year-old) is that the higher...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 11:25 PM
    Not being comparable implies, by definition, that there is no major difference in difficulty between what we've discussed. Figured someone with a BA...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 08:40 PM
    That's not how difficulty is assessed, by people's, or yours, preference. Sorry to burst that bubble to you. Simply say that you prefer, or choose to...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 07:20 PM
    No, two situations are not comparable in difficulty simply because they are both possible scenarios. And if it's about preference, then it's clear...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 05:22 PM
    No, I'm not arguing that one is easier than the other. I'm saying they are not comparable. Which they're not. For someone that has said repeatedly he...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 04:08 PM
    There is no terrible logic, it's just common sense. The situational football would've called for different approaches for both teams. Ask any coach...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 03:21 PM
    What factors have I ignored? That it's easier to get 10 yards rather than 60? Well, sure, if we go by pure math, 10 < 60. But the two aren't...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 02:03 PM
    None of the factors that I've previously mentioned are accounted for in the WP model, nor should they. I've also never cited it as if it agrees...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 12:23 PM
    If that's the case, a FG, a 3-and-out and a TD wins then the game, so I'd say that's the real best case scenario. I know it sounds like a...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 12:14 PM
    All that Seth is saying in his tweet is that one of the biggest factors in justifying going for it is the difference between the rate of converting...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 11:04 AM
    They are saying go for it, by a 0.5% margin. I've mentioned that. Plenty. You wanted to bring other factors into it, I did too. Yes, pass rush was...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-26-2021, 08:21 AM
    Based on what is Rodgers more likely to score a TD on 4th & 8? Based on the previous three failed attempts to do so? Even if he beats the odds...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-25-2021, 07:20 PM
    How about how that historically good RZ offense and that elite-level playing Rodgers didn't make any difference, 0, the previous 3 plays? How about...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-25-2021, 06:24 PM
    No, he doesn't. WP difference between going for it and kicking the FG is 0.5%. At worst, like I said, it's way, way, way too small a difference...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-25-2021, 05:48 PM
    In the two most likely scenarios out of three possible had they gone for it, they were going to need a 3-and-out anyway. The best case scenario in...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-25-2021, 02:47 PM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread Discussion: Here is why I hate KC in NFL
    Most fanbases deep down look something like this when/if they have just secured a ticket to a second, consecutive SB.
    19 replies | 573 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-25-2021, 01:22 PM
    If they scored on 4th and then the conversion, you still need to stop them or else they win with a FG. A 4th down TD try and a 2-point conversio...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-25-2021, 12:15 PM
    But what's more likely, that you make that FG or convert a 4th down into a TD, facing a very capable pass rush and not having your best OL day? I...
    124 replies | 3002 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-17-2021, 10:24 AM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread Divisional Round: Saturday in NFL
    Sure, but he wasn't that good againt Titans last week, in better conditions, or the two years before.
    144 replies | 3468 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-16-2021, 11:27 PM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread Divisional Round: Saturday in NFL
    Lamar Jackson is still a bad playoffs QB and you can't convince me otherwise.
    144 replies | 3468 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-16-2021, 10:15 PM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread Divisional Round: Saturday in NFL
    Are the Bills ever going to run the ball?
    144 replies | 3468 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-15-2021, 06:03 PM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread News: Falcons to Hire Arthur Smith in NFL
    It's official now. I'd say good hire by Atlanta.
    5 replies | 301 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-10-2021, 05:44 PM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread Discussion: NFCE 2020 Season Discussion Thread in NFL
    But... why, though?
    5110 replies | 145940 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-10-2021, 05:43 PM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread Discussion: NFCE 2020 Season Discussion Thread in NFL
    Is it because you're really high on Fields, or is it because you're not as high on Wilson? I'm asking because while I haven't really paid...
    5110 replies | 145940 view(s)
  • Andrei00's Avatar
    01-10-2021, 05:23 PM
    Andrei00 replied to a thread GDT: Super Wild Card Weekend: Sunday Games in NFL
    Henry is not really a short-yardage type of back, though.
    370 replies | 6493 view(s)
More Activity

243 Visitor Messages

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    OTC in draft
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    up in mock
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    Cleared. I also sent you a chatzy in one of the PMs if you have time, reach. If not, stay in PMs, no problem.
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    If you have any other ideas in the mean time in all ears. Otherwise I fire stuff off in a hour or two
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    At the gym now. I'll fire off some ideas in an hour or two.
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    Oh actually I have exactly enough! I thought Howard was 3.5 mil but he’s only 3. So I can do it
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    Damn, sorry man I actually just barely don’t have cap for it anymore because I made a different trade haha
  8. View Conversation
    I could give you Dion Lewis for Jordan Howard, he makes 2mil
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    Coooooome oooooonnnn lol
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About Andrei00

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