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View Full Version : Will A-Rod Break 700?



Shark
09-05-2011, 04:21 AM
I was watching Jays game against Yankees and remembered about A Rod, personally never cared for him, but everyone always said he would be the guy to break the HR record. I looked up his profile, and damn has time felt like it has gone fast, I did not realize that A Rod is already 36 years old. With every year that passes, he seems to get himself into a different type of media frenzy, has this eventually hurt his chance of breaking the HR record, let alone breaking 700? A Rod currently sits at 628 HR's, there are 34 games left in the season, depending on how many A Rod will actually play, he may be able to reach around 632-635. Given his age and his obvious power declines, the last time he hit more then 35 home runs was 2007, where he his 54 after only hitting 35 in 2006. But from 2008-2011, he has not hit more then 30 homers in a season.

I honestly do believe he breaks 700, 72 more to go, even if he averages 24 homeruns in the next 3 seasons, which by that time, he will be 39 and turning 40 for the following season, do you think he will go any further then that? His drama in his life and health on the field have been a big factor this year, 1 more year like this, could jeopardize his chances. But another question is, if he has not reached 700 by age 40, do you think he will just keep playing even beyond the age of 40, just to break 700 or possibly just go for the record and surpass Bonds? or Aaron, whoever you may believe holds the legit record.

It will be interesting to see, only time will tell. Unless all these 2012 rumours are true, so none of these stats will actually mean anything lol.

knicks_champ
09-05-2011, 04:57 AM
Mostly likely he will... but it would feel just like when Barry Bonds made it..... Fake.

The X
09-05-2011, 10:37 AM
Before he was injured he was on track for 35 home runs. And you do realize howmany years he has on his contract right?

He will get to 800

StayOnBoard
09-05-2011, 10:48 AM
Before he was injured he was on track for 35 home runs. And you do realize howmany years he has on his contract right?

He will get to 800

800?? No....

He'll hit 700 though, barring no major injuries.

Green_Monster
09-05-2011, 11:15 AM
Before he was injured he was on track for 35 home runs. And you do realize howmany years he has on his contract right?

He will get to 800

I dont think having a lot of years left when your 36 is a good thing, especially when they're costing $20 mill.....

nycericanguy
09-05-2011, 11:18 AM
The power is still there, like the previous poster mentioned he was on pace for 35 hr's this year before getting hurt, and he hit 30 despite missing significant time last year.

The key is will he be able to play enough games. If he can average 135 games or so he'll break the record, but if he misses half the season like this year he won't.

700 shouldn't even be a question, he'd had to fall off the face of the earth to not reach 700. 800 will be tougher though.

The X
09-05-2011, 11:19 AM
I dont think having a lot of years left when your 36 is a good thing, especially when they're costing $20 mill.....

How is he supposed to get to 800 in 1 year? What I mean is he will have enough time to beat the record.

Tmath
09-05-2011, 11:30 AM
Well, if he keeps hitting right field pop-up HR's at Yankee stadium, I don't see why he can't.

IceHawk-181
09-05-2011, 11:53 AM
It is worthwhile to note that, despite a number of injuries over the last few years, Arod is still hitting home runs at an impressive clip.

From 2000-2003: 197 HR in 633 Games (14.4 PA/HR)
From 2004-2007: 173 HR in 629 Games (16.1 PA/HR)
From 2008-2011: 110 HR in 485 Games (19.0 PA/HR)

Assuming he plays an average of 130 games per season for the next few seasons Arod likely averages 30 HRs a year for the next 2-4 years.

He breaks 700 at the end of the 2013 season or in the first month of the 2014 season.
I think Arod can break 800, but if he does so it will be in the final year of his contract.

Predictions:
2011: 633
2012: 668
2013: 699
2014: 729
2015: 759
2016: 779
2017: 799

Unless another major injury like 2011 occurs (which I doubt, 145 games with 20-50 at DH seem to be his future, thank God for Jesus & Nunez!) Arod breaks 700 in the next 3-4 years, breaks Bond's record near the end of his contract, and inches closer to 800 Home Runs than anyone ever will...

...until Pujols slugs #800 on the last day of his career at the age of 41. (Probably)

Fred
09-05-2011, 12:05 PM
He cheats, therefore, I don't care....

...and like Tmath said, pop-ups in Yankee stadium (especially RF) can get Tex to 700 as well....that HR by AFraud yesterday was classic...he hit the ball, threw a hissy fit that he didn't "get it", and then the ball flies out of that band box....

"Ace"ves
09-05-2011, 12:12 PM
He cheats, therefore, I don't care....

...and like Tmath said, pop-ups in Yankee stadium (especially RF) can get Tex to 700 as well....that HR by AFraud yesterday was classic...he hit the ball, threw a hissy fit that he didn't "get it", and then the ball flies out of that band box....

im glad you don't have any harbor hate ;)

avrpatsfan
09-05-2011, 02:01 PM
He'll get 700 easily.

ManningToTyree
09-05-2011, 02:32 PM
he has 700 in the bag. He will probably retire the HR king, Even though I still consider Aaron to have that title

KingPosey
09-05-2011, 02:35 PM
Thats a lot of writing for a very simple, and easy answer of yes.

KingPosey
09-05-2011, 02:38 PM
Well, if he keeps hitting right field pop-up HR's at Yankee stadium, I don't see why he can't.

lol this. Yankee stadium is complete ********.

KingPosey
09-05-2011, 02:43 PM
he has 700 in the bag. He will probably retire the HR king, Even though I still consider Aaron to have that title
well go ahead, but youre wrong.

Raps18-19 Champ
09-05-2011, 03:24 PM
I think his ego won't let him retire until he achieves the HR title.

daresdrama
09-05-2011, 10:22 PM
i think he passes bonds but who knows again it depends if he stay productive in the latter years of his contract I hope so

Pinstripe pride
09-06-2011, 08:51 AM
he'll get 700 almost for sure