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4cubs
06-22-2010, 08:19 PM
Before today's games, the standings are as follows:

Cards 38W 31L (.551)
Cubs 31W 38L (.449)

If the Cards essentially play .500 ball the rest of the year, they will end with a record of 85W 77L.

For the Cubs to edge them out with a record of 86W 76L they would have to play .591 ball for the rest of the season (55 wins out of the remaining 93 games).

Currently, only 5 teams have a winning percentage at least .591 (Yankees, Tampa, Boston, Texas, Braves). NOTE: only 1 NL team.

The Cubs would have to play at the level of those teams for the remainder of the year for this to happen (and this makes the BIG assumption that the Cards will only play .500 the rest of the way, and the Reds don't pass both teams up).

I want to believe, but the numbers don't look good. Any reason for hope?

Cub_StuckinSTL
06-22-2010, 08:33 PM
The thing you didn't account for is the number of games we have left with the reds and the cards....its a lot

4cubs
06-22-2010, 08:37 PM
The thing you didn't account for is the number of games we have left with the reds and the cards....its a lot

Well this certainly helps for the Cubs to somewhat control their destiny. But we still have to win those games.

4cubs
07-12-2010, 12:44 PM
ALL STAR BREAK UPDATE:

At the All Star Break, the standings are as follows:

Reds 49W 41L (.544)
Cards 47W 41L (.534)
Cubs 39W 50L (.438)

If the Reds (and Cards) essentially play .500 ball the rest of the year, they will end with a record of 85W 77L.

For the Cubs to edge them out with a record of 86W 76L they would have to play .644 ball for the rest of the season (47 wins out of the remaining 73 games).

No team in baseball has a .644 winning percentage, and only 2 (Yankees and Rays) are above .600

semperfi
07-12-2010, 12:55 PM
before today's games, the standings are as follows:

Cards 38w 31l (.551)
cubs 31w 38l (.449)

if the cards essentially play .500 ball the rest of the year, they will end with a record of 85w 77l.

For the cubs to edge them out with a record of 86w 76l they would have to play .591 ball for the rest of the season (55 wins out of the remaining 93 games).

Currently, only 5 teams have a winning percentage at least .591 (yankees, tampa, boston, texas, braves). Note: Only 1 nl team.

The cubs would have to play at the level of those teams for the remainder of the year for this to happen (and this makes the big assumption that the cards will only play .500 the rest of the way, and the reds don't pass both teams up).

I want to believe, but the numbers don't look good. any reason for hope?


me