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View Poll Results: The Dodgers will...

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  • Sweep

    0 0%
  • Win series

    2 50.00%
  • Split

    1 25.00%
  • Lose series

    0 0%
  • Get swept

    1 25.00%
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  1. #1
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    Los Angeles Dodgers (33-31) @ Cincinnati Reds (29-32)

    ................................

    Los Angeles Dodgers (32-31) @ Cincinnati Reds (29-32)

    Great American Ballpark





    Game 1. Monday, 4:10PM. ESPN.

    Dan Haren


    After opening the season 4-0, word of back stiffness surfaced and Haren has gone 1-4 since. He allowed two homers in his first seven starts, eight homers in his next five.

    Cingrani gave up three runs on six hits while walking three (one intentional) and striking out seven in a loss to the Giants on Wednesday. In his only career start against the Dodgers, he tossed seven shutout innings and struck out 11 last July 28.



    Game 2. Tuesday, 4:10PM. MLB Network

    Josh Beckett


    Beckett pitches with an extra day of rest, which should be welcome in his third outing since the 128-pitch no-hitter. A 2.56 ERA underscores a comeback-of-the-year season.

    Leake had his worst outing of the season in a loss to the Giants on Thursday, giving up five runs on eight hits in five innings. In five career appearances (four starts) against the Dodgers, he is 2-2 with a 4.80 ERA.



    Game 3. Wednesday, 4:10PM. SportsNet LA

    Hyun-Jin Ryu


    The professional in Ryu was on display in his last start, his first ever at Coors Field. That win was his fourth consecutive since coming off the disabled list to freshen his shoulder.

    Cueto gave up four runs on six hits in five innings, his shortest outing of the season, against the Phillies on Friday. In seven career starts against the Dodgers, he is 1-5 with a 3.19 ERA.



    Game 4. Thursday, 9:35PM. MLB Network.

    Zack Greinke


    Probably should throw out the last start, an 11-hitter over seven innings, because it came at Coors Field, where Greinke deploys a damage-control strategy. All things considered, he's been the club's best starter this year.

    Simon allowed three runs on seven hits over six innings to beat the Phillies on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA (6 ER in 6 IP) in three career appearances (one start) against the Dodgers.
    #ITFDB
    Last edited by DodgerB24; 06-09-2014 at 08:30 PM.

  2. #2
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    Need to win this series, a sweep would be HUGE, but that is probably unlikely.

    FWIW --- These game times are all listed as MST, not PST
    Foam Party!

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by LASportsFan1996 View Post
    Need to win this series, a sweep would be HUGE, but that is probably unlikely.

    FWIW --- These game times are all listed as MST, not PST
    Especially on the road, with Ryu facing Cueto.

  4. #4
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    Stache Van Smash.

  5. #5
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    Good Win! #ILoveLA

    Oh and Scott Van Slyke
    Foam Party!

  6. #6
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    Los Angeles Dodgers (33-31) @ Cincinnati Reds (29-32)

    He needs to start... SVS that is ... He's another jayson werth that we can't have leave our team

  7. #7
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    SVS just need steady AB's.

  8. #8
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    we might finally gain a game.

  9. #9
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    omfg giants lost.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by AllDay28 View Post
    He needs to start... SVS that is ... He's another jayson werth that we can't have leave our team
    He can't RHP though, so probably not, he is a fine bat off the bench against LH relievers and can give left handed hitting Corner OF/1B a day off. That's a 4th OF.

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by DigglinDickers View Post
    SVS just need steady AB's.
    Yeah, so his numbers can neutralize.

  12. #12
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    So SVS should never learn to hit right handers? Just say **** it? He is second in home runs in the outfield behind Puig so yeah he needs more Ab's.

  13. #13
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    C'mon Dodgers time to get rollin'!

  14. #14
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    Van Slyke career vs L: .241/.358/.549, 54% better than a league average hitter, 15% BB, 23% K, .308 ISO, 159 PA
    Van Slyke career vs R: .230/.326/.402 8% better than a league average hitter, 12% BB, 29% K, .172 ISO, 142 PS
    http://www.fangraphs.com/statsplits....on=OF&season=0

    The difference between SVS's performance against lefties and righties is pretty stark. Particularly in the power department.

    But, we're looking at pretty small samples - and those are spread out over multiple seasons.

    Different stats have different points where they become reliable
    Here are some key ones
    Stabilization Points for Offense Statistics:

    60 PA: Strikeout rate
    120 PA: Walk rate
    240 PA: HBP rate
    290 PA: Single rate
    1610 PA: XBH rate
    170 PA: HR rate
    910 AB: AVG
    460 PA: OBP
    320 AB: SLG
    160 AB: ISO
    80 BIP: GB rate
    80 BIP: FB rate
    600 BIP: LD rate
    50 FBs: HR per FB
    820 BIP: BABIP
    You can see that SVS doesn't have the requisite number of PA's against either left or right handed pitchers where we can really start drawing conclusions based on his performance.

    Where he does have enough (again spread out over multiple season, however) is for K and BB rates.
    He does show a platoon split (as almost all hitters do) in his K and BB rates
    vs L: 15% BB, 23% K, 1.6 K/BB
    vs R: 12% BB, 29% K, 2.4 K/BB

    But, they aren't that extreme

    Compare to, say, Andre Ethier
    vs R: 11%, 16%, 1.4 K/BB
    vs L: 6%, 22%, 3.5 K/BB

    SVS's ratio of K/BB rates for dominant hand over negative hand is (2.4/1.6) 1.5
    Ethier's ratio is (3.5/1.4) 2.4

    Ethier has the much bigger split.

    We can look at SVS's minor league numbers as well (from 2011 on)
    vs L: .343/.422/.614
    vs R: .340/.435/.586
    He hardly has a split

    And his K/BB rates
    vs L: 1.2 K/BB
    vs R: 1.4 K/BB
    vs L/vs R: 1.2

    Again, he hardly shows a split.

    SVS is less of a platoon player than Ethier.

    But, I still don't believe that there is reason to believe that SVS is a better hitter vs right-handed batters than Ethier is.

  15. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by DigglinDickers View Post
    So SVS should never learn to hit right handers? Just say **** it? He is second in home runs in the outfield behind Puig so yeah he needs more Ab's.
    I'm certainly not saying that, but how long has Ethier been struggling vs LHP. I don't think he ever gave up on it, but it's not something you can easily do. If it was, teams wouldn't bother with bringing in a LH reliever to face a leftie reliever, or start a right handed hitter over a left handed hitter when facing a Leftie Starter.

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