Pujols is inching closer to becoming the first player in 5 years since Sheffield to reach the 500 home run club.
Ruth was the first to reach it in 1929
Then 11 years later Jimmie Foxx joined him.
By 1960, Ott made three.
Five guys joined the club in the 60's (Williams, Mays, Mantle, Matthews, and Aaron)
The 70's saw four guys join the club (Banks, Killebrew, Robinson, McCovey)
The 80's saw Jackson and Schmidt
And the 90's just saw McGwire and Murry
Mark McGwire being the first known PED user to make this list
Then the 00's happened......9 guys, 3 in 07 alone
Bonds, Sosa, Palmerio, Griffey, Thomas, A-Rod, Thome, Manny, Sheffield
So an obvious blow-up in home runs in that decade.
Pujols will be the first in five years....something that from 1929-1999, saw just 16 guys in 71 seasons, or one player ever 4.4 years.
Pujols will almost certainly join the list
Here are the active players behind him:
Dunn - 442 - won't make it I imagine
Giambi - 438 - probably his last season
Konerko - 434 - probably his last season
Ortiz - 432 - doubtful, but he could play another 3 seasons and make it. I'll bet he won't, but I won't be surprised if he does.
Soriano - 406 - I think he's going to be a bench player by next season.
Beltre - 376 - has a real shot, as healthy as he has been
Miggy - 366 - just remain healthy, and he'll for sure do it
Beltran - 358 - probably only has 3-4 seasons left, I can see 400, maybe 425, not 500
A-Ram - 354 - outside chance, but I doubt he plays long enough.....even if he can average 15 home runs a season the rest of the away with aging, that's a long time to continue on
Tex - 341 - doubt it
Hunter - 317 - won't
Fielder - 285 - might, too far away to tell
And nobody else is over 200 that you really think could do it with any certainty.
How many players do you think will hit their 500th from 2010-2019....we are getting our first in 2014 (probably).