I like to do mock drafts, don't judge me.
1. Houston Texans- DE Jadeveon Clowney. I finally jumped on the bandwagon. Unless teams are putting up smoke screens, it seems like more people are dropping the top QB's by the day. O'Brien is a very good coach, so I think he can teach up a QB from later in the draft or trade for Ryan Mallet or someone. This allows them to take BPA instead of need. I don't think I have to go in depth on why Watt and Clowney would be ridiculous together.
2. (Trade) Cleveland Browns- WR Sammy Watkins. The Browns have already built a good, young core if you don't count the QB position. With 2 picks in the 1st round, I expect the Browns to draft their QB of the future and another WR weapon and I don't see them sitting on their hands hoping the players they want fall to them. The Jaguars take Watkins if he's there IMO, so Cleveland moves up to guarantee their Gordon-Watkins duo.
3. Jacksonville Jaguars- OLB Khalil Mack. QB's are gonna fall, IMO, because teams are 1) not overly enamored by this years QB's and 2) next year's QB draft is looking strong. Jaguars are the most disappointed with the lack of QBs atop the draft because Clowney had a chance to fall right into their laps. However, Mack is a very good consolation prize. They still get a top pass rusher, just not the once in a generation potential.
4. St. Louis Rams- (From Cleveland). OL Greg Robinson. I really have a tough time finding a realistic scenario where the Rams "lose" in this draft. This scenario has them picking up picks later in this deep draft, getting a 2nd rounder for next year, and still getting the guy they want/need. Oh and they still have another 1st round pick.
5. Oakland Raiders- QB Teddy Bridgewater. Hardest team to predict. They can just go BPA, which leaves a lot of options. Here, they can't pass up Bridgewater. The Schaub trade is what allows this pick to happen. Bridgewater won't be asked to come in and start day 1 and can be groomed a bit. Next year's draft when teams are fighting over their franchise QB, the Raiders will already have theirs.
6. Atlanta Falcons- OL Jake Matthews. Getting a pass rusher is a high priority for the Falcons, however, with Clowney and Mack gone, they decide on BPA that also improves a weakness. I don't think the Falcons want to wait on Anthony Barr to develop, but Matthews is NFL ready and would start and improve their line year 1.
7. Tampa Bay Bucs- OLB Anthony Barr. Lovie Smith is building a strong defense in Tampa and you can never have too much of a pass rush. More and more we are seeing teams adding situational pass rushers. I see the Bucs treating Barr like the 49ers did Aldon Smith; have him be a situational pass rusher for year 1 and let him work on his overall game behind the scenes.
8. Minnesota Vikings- QB Blake Bortles. Vikings are very fortunate that they can select Bortles without having to trade up for him. This team has so much dysfunction at the QB position that someone needs to come forward as the clear cut guy. Bortles will give the Vikings much more stability as a signal caller.
9. Buffalo Bills- OL Taylor Lewan. Manuel needs weapons, but he also needs protection. I'm not too worried about Lewan's off the field issues. Glenn and Lewan are a couple quality tackles to protect their franchise. Safety is also a position Buffalo could go with this pick with HaHa still there.
10. Detroit Lions- WR Mike Evans. Johnson-Evans-Tate would be a dangerous trio for Stafford to sling the ball to. Not too much to say as this is a pretty obvious pick, but Safety could also be a possibility here.
11. (Trade) New York Jets- TE Eric Ebron. Rex Ryan knows how to get a defense to play, but his teams have always had offensive problems. Seems like every year there's a new freak athlete TE that emerges and teams are finding new ways to use them. Ebron should be able to expand the Jets offense, whether it's Geno taking his play to the next level or Vick trying to jump start his career.
12. New York Giants- DT Aaron Donald. Linval Joseph was a big loss for the Giants as a once great defensive line is now a weakness. Donald would play a major factor along the line for time to come. A WR/TE is certainly an option as well, but I don't love Lee here and Ebron is already gone.
13. St. Louis Rams- S HaHa Clinton-Dix. Secondary was going to be the pick, the question was just CB or S. I elected for safety and HaHa is the best one in this class. If Dennard is still here, he could very well be the pick.
14. Chicago Bears- DT Louis Nix. Nix has some worries about his knee, but when he has played he's been rather dominant. A team desperate for defensive line help would welcome Nix into their rotation. If the Rams elect CB, HaHa is likely the pick.
15. Pittsburgh Steelers- CB Darqueze Dennard. Gilbert is rising up draft boards with his combine, but Dennard is still the top CB as his tape is more consistent. Plus, Dennard is the more physical CB, a perfect fit for the Steelers. I don't like the Steelers reaching for a WR with this selection even if it may be more pressing of a need.
16. (Trade) San Francisco 49ers- CB Justin Gilbert. The first 2 picks for the 49ers this year will be a CB and a WR. Rogers had to be cut and Brown was just lower on the totem pole than our other free agents. Brock looked solid last year, but it's doubtful he's a #1 corner. Culliver showed a lot of potential, but he's coming off a season-long injury and is a free agent next year. After that there's nothing to get excited about, Chris Cook was brought in. Gilbert is needed on the 49ers now and in the future, so they make their move.
17. Baltimore Ravens- OL Zack Martin. The thought is the Ravens will be drafting with Joe Flacco on their mind. That means either giving him more weapons or more protection. Steve Smith is a quality signing that allows them to focus on the line first. Martin can play any position along the line and could be eyed as the starter at RT.
18. Tennessee Titans (from New York Jets)- ILB CJ Mosely. Verner left the Titans with a huge hole in the secondary, but Tennessee's LBs are rather underwhelming and Mosely can do it all. CB can be addressed with Tennessee's next pick as there are quality CB's later in the draft. Mosely has a good chance to still be on the board with this pick, so Tennessee grabs a 3rd rounder in a deep draft and get help in a position of need.
19. (Trade) Cleveland Browns- QB Derek Carr. Like I said earlier, Cleveland will come into this draft knowing exactly what they want and won't wait around for it to fall to them. Some people favor Johnny Manziel, but it's clear that the Browns want Carr. The Browns have much of their supporting cast already, they just need their QB and 2nd WR, making some of their mid-round picks expendable to fill major needs.
20. Arizona Cardinals- S Calvin Pryor. The Cardinals addressed their biggest need, offensive line, in free agency, allowing this pick to improve an already good defense. A pass rusher is also a possibility, but I have the Cardinals adding another playmaker to a young secondary.
21. Green Bay Packers- Ra'Shede Hageman. Peppers, even with his age, will help the Packers defensive line this season, but it's still a position of need for the future. Hageman can be a rotational player this year and has the potential to be a quality starter for years to come.
22. (Trade) Houston Texans- QB Johnny Manziel. Maybe it's just me, but it seems like the talking heads are way more enamored with Manziel than teams are. Once Manziel falls beyond #5, it's a slippery slope for him. I wouldn't be surprised if he completely falls out of the 1st round, however, I have to imagine teams that need a QB will pick up their phones when they see Manziel creeping lower and lower. Right now, Houston seems the most likely to do so.
23. Kansas City Chiefs- WR Marqise Lee. The Chiefs biggest need is at WR and Marqise Lee would be a fine addition. Lee could very well be gone by this pick as teams ahead of the Chiefs could use a WR, but luckily for the Chiefs he falls through the cracks.
24. Cincinnati Bengals- DE Kony Ealy. The Bengals need help and youth on the defensive side of the ball, specifically along the line and at cornerback. With Michael Johnson bolting for Tampa, Cincy finds themself drafting a pass rusher with a lot of potential. Verrett would most likely be the pick if they opt to go with the secondary.
25. San Diego Chargers- CB Jason Verrett. The Chargers secondary was terrible last year, which led to a much needed change. The Chargers only have 1 CB on their roster with significant starting experience. While adding a CB via the draft won't change that, Verrett would have a very strong chance to start day 1 and may be a better option.
26. Miami Dolphins (From Cleveland)- OL Xavier Su'a-Filo. Miami needs help at multiple positions along their offensive line. Su'a-Filo has the ability to play anywhere along the line, something he showed during his senior season at UCLA. Albert was a great acquisition, but he can't solve their offensive line problems alone.
27. New Orleans Saints- CB Bradley Roby. The Saints offense will always be dangerous as long as Payton and Brees are there. WR has become a need, but not big enough to spend their 1st rounder on. The Saints secondary is set at 3 positions, the missing piece being a 2nd CB. Roby is a part of the 2nd tier of CB prospects, but he has the potential to emerge as the best.
28. Carolina Panthers- WR Odell Beckham Jr. Carolina almost has to go WR in the first round. Benjamin is an option, but he's too raw to be asked to come in and be a top target immediately. Beckham has tons of speed and should be able to hook up with Newton for a few long touchdowns.
29. New England Patriots- DE Stephon Tuitt. New England was active in free agency to make a run this year. This pick is likely to be on the defensive side of the ball and their line needs help right now as well as in the future. Adding Tuitt to the rotation will bring some needed depth and youth.
30. Dallas Cowboys (From San Francisco)- OLB Dee Ford. Ford's stock has been falling, but he's still a pass rusher with a lot of potential, something worth adding at the end of the 1st round. Dallas needs lots of help along their defensive line, even with adding Melton, so this pick makes a lot of sense.
31. Denver Broncos- CB Kyle Fuller. Denver's holes on the offensive side of the ball aren't important enough to spend a first round pick on. Even though the Broncos acquired Talib, adding CB depth is usually a smart decision. The Broncos can go in many directions along the defense with this pick.
32. Seattle Seahawks- WR Kelvin Benjamin. Seattle has replacements already on their roster for most of the players they lost on the defensive side of the ball. Offensively, the replacement they don't have is at WR. Benjamin is raw and needs work, but in Seattle he won't be asked or expected to do too much too early. If coached up properly, Benjamin has the physical tools to be a very good WR for awhile.
And a bonus one for the Eagles fans, whose team traded out of the 1st round to pick #33.
33. Philadelphia Eagles- OLB Kyle Van Noy. Philly has to go defense with their first few picks of this draft. Van Noy is the highest rated defensive player I have left. He can get after the QB and could be used more situational at first before seeing an expanded role.
St. Louis trades #2. Cleveland trades #4, #83, #123, 2015 2nd rounder
Tennessee trades #11. New York Jets trade #18, #69, #142
Dallas trades #16. San Francisco trades #30, #61, #125, #218
Miami trades #19, #81. Cleveland trades #26, #71, #102, #164
Philadelphia trades #22, #118. Houston trades #33, #65