Please list at least a minimal explanation as to why, and they don't have to strictly be outside the current top 12, but teams that are likely to be a 4 seed or lower that you have some belief in.
MSU - Every four year senior that's played those four years for Izzo has made it to at least one Final Four. Michigan State hasn't been there in any of the past three seasons.
UNC - Picking up steam at the right time, obviously have the coaching as well.
SMU - Larry Brown pulls one more trick out of his magic hat. Why the hell not?