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  1. #1
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    Reds getting close to 6-year deal in $100 million range with Homer Bailey

    paul hoynes ‏@hoynsie 2m
    Heard Reds getting close to 6-year deal in $100 million range with Homer Bailey. Bound to influence Indians talks with Justin Masterson

  2. #2
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    Damn, he's getting paid more than I was expecting, if true.
    Foam Party!

  3. #3
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    That's... a lot of money.

  4. #4
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    Was hoping my Cubs would make a run at him next offseason.. damn.

  5. #5
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    Giving a pitcher 6 years is a risk, but in terms of AAV it's fine.

  6. #6
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    He is a great pitcher, no question he'll earn it from me. Even as a Cards fan, I respect Bailey and think he'll be great

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by DodgerB24 View Post
    That's... a lot of money.
    Quote Originally Posted by LASportsFan1996 View Post
    Damn, he's getting paid more than I was expecting, if true.
    Rich coming from Dodgers fans?

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeffy25 View Post
    Rich coming from Dodgers fans?
    Hey, I'm not Ned Colletti.

  9. #9
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    Bailey's in his final year of arbitration. He asked for $11.6 million and the Reds offered 8.7 million.
    He'd make about $10 million this year.

    That makes it a 5 year $90 million extension.

    That's about 2.6 fWAR per season (assuming $6 million/WAR and 5% inflation)


    He was 3.7 WAR last year and 2.5 WAR the year before.

    Steamer and Oliver project him for about 2.5 WAR next season.

    The Reds must think that he's more likely to produce like he did in 2013 going forward.

    It's probably a fair enough deal for him.

  10. #10
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    Lol what

  11. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mell413 View Post
    Giving a pitcher 6 years is a risk, but in terms of AAV it's fine.
    Whats the difference in giving a 27 year old pitcher 6 years and giving a 28 year old free agent 5 years?

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeffy25 View Post
    Rich coming from Dodgers fans?
    Fans of any team can think a contract is a more/less money than the player is worth. And the reds don't have the dodgers financial power, so giving him about 16 mill a year is a much bigger deal for them then it is for LA.

  13. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by ciaban View Post
    Whats the difference in giving a 27 year old pitcher 6 years and giving a 28 year old free agent 5 years?
    Well you'd have 2014 data for example


    But if he has another good year, then he could end up costing much more

  14. #14
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    Bailey was interviewed by the Reds Cincinnati Enquirer writers this morning, and he said "It's just the little details and stuff like that — but we're really close."

    I think that is a ton of money, but I guess that's the asking price in today's market. I just hope this doesn't prevent us from signing Leake and Latos long term. However, I am really excited to see him stay in Cincinnati though. He's a fun pitcher to watch. I went to his second no hitter, and it was probably the most exciting game I've ever been too.
    **********

  15. #15
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    It just seems like a lot of money to give to a pitcher who I wouldn't even consider top 20. I guess that is the market though so its hard to really say it's a complete overpayment.

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