Hey guys, this might belong in the statistics forum so please move if you feel it's needed.
But I was looking at the standings today and I could not believe how bad some of the East teams are. Then I looked at the Durant vs Lebron thread and came to a conclusion. There needs to be better way to judge a players statistical output. The standard metrics are not concerned with the type of competition a player puts his stats up against. It does not matter that Durant will play 52 games against the west and only 30 games against the east when Lebron will play the opposite.
Say Durant and Lebron put up similar stats for the year with Lebrons being slightly better, obviously Durant's year would be more impressive. But 20 years from now people wont remember how bad the east was so they will just think that Lebron had the better year without doing any research.
I am looking for a way to formulate a stat that would produce a number like PER. The only difference being that it would take strength of competition into consideration. Baseball stats take the ballpark into consideration and adjust a players stats accordingly. Since all courts are the same dimension the only variable is the competition.
There are a few things that should be taken into consideration
Opponents defensive rating
And actual players on the floor.
I say actual players on the floor due to the fact that Durant may play the Spurs when Pop rest his main players. Or maybe someone is hurt. I was thinking of giving every player in the league a standardized rating. I would think the best way to give each player a universal rating would be (PER*WSper48/82games) Do you have a better idea?
Lebron's rating would be calculated as such: 28.8*269/82= 94.48
I can go further but I don't want to get too much into it if people just think I'm crazy. Does anyone else think that something should be developed to rank players better? I think it would be really useful when ranking college kids. Not all conferences are ranked the same so say that the ACC is really strong and the Pac 10 sucks, similar players might be distinguished by this new metric. Any comments or ideas would be greatly appreciated.