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  1. #1
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    Dodgers sign Chris Perez to a 1 yr deal


    LAKERS
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    DODGERS
    FC BARCELONA
    USC TROJANS

  2. #2
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    Just signed Jamey wright too. He pitched well last season. I'm happy with our additions this offseason thus far. Bullpen is definitely improved on paper. Just need that ace starter and fill out the bench and lets go to work!

  3. #3
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    Wright to a minor league deal, NRI?

    EDIT: Nevermind, major league contract.

  4. #4
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    That leaves the Dodger bullpen looking something like:
    Closer - Kenley Jansen 68.3 innings, 13.0 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 2.18 ERA, 2.35 FIP, 1.2 WAR
    HL R - Brian Wilson 32.3 innings, 8.6 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 3.27 ERA, 3.39 FIP, 0.3 WAR
    HL L - Paco Rodriguez 46.7 innings, 10.9 K/9, 3.6 BB/9, 3.02 ERA, 3.10 FIP, 0.4 WAR
    ML L - JP Howell 50.7 innings, 7.9 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, 3.42 ERA, 3.64 FIP, 0.1 WAR
    ML R - Chris Perez 55.7 innings, 8.3 K/9, 3.2 BB/9, 3.88 ERA, 4.12 FIP, -0.1 WAR
    LL R - Jamey Wright 42 innings, 7.3 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 3.61 ERA, 3.64 FIP, 0.1 WAR
    LL R - Brandon League 61.7 innings, 6.2 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 3.76 ERA, 3.72 FIP, -0.1 WAR

    With the following waiting in AAA
    Chris Withrow - 64.3 innings, 9.5 K/9, 4.7 BB/9, 3.58 ERA, 3.81 FIP, 0.1 WAR
    Jose Dominguez - 49.3 innings, 8.9 K/9, 5.3 BB/9, 4.15 ERA, 4.15 FIP -0.1 WAR
    Onelki Garcia 47.7 innings, 8.0 K/9, 5.6 BB/9, 4.37 ERA, 4.53 FIP, -0.4 WAR
    Scott Elbert - 24.3 innings, 8.5 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, 3.52 ERA, 3.84 FIP, 0.0 WAR
    Javy Guerra - 55.3 innings, 7.3 K/9, 3.7 BB/9, 3.98 ERA, 3.95 FIP, -0.2 WAR

    *Combined projections from STEAMER, Oliver, and ZiPS

    Withrow gets bumped to AAA
    Elbert and Guerra are out of options and will have to be released or traded.
    And Rule 5 pick Seth Rosin doesn't look to have a spot so the Dodgers will have to give him (and $25,000) back or work out a trade.

    EDITED
    Quote Originally Posted by filihok View Post
    Far from trading Dominguez, the team is more likely to add another reliever, more Luis Ayala than Grant Balfour, so Withrow can be stashed in AAA.
    Called it
    Shoulda known it'd be Wright.
    Last edited by filihok; 12-23-2013 at 06:29 PM.

  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by filihok View Post
    Rule 5 pick Seth Rosin doesn't look to have a spot so the Dodgers will have to give him (and $25,000) back or work out at trade.
    Technically we didn't select him, we traded for him, so could we just send him down to the minors if he clears waivers?

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by Unown99 View Post
    Technically we didn't select him, we traded for him, so could we just send him down to the minors if he clears waivers?
    No. We acquired the same rights that the Mets had so we have to play by the same rules.

  7. #7
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    I hope Dominguez gets time. Don't want to see him get wasted in AAA.

  8. #8
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    Have no clue why we'd use Jamey ****ing Wright over Withrow and or Dominguez
    #Joc2LA

  9. #9
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    I haven't seen anything on Wright. Anyone got a link?

    I was posting about this in the offseason thread but I think this could be a good signing. I don't know much about advanced stats but we got a guy with 123 saves on 140 tries in the last 4 seasons as a 7th inning guy. At the very least there is possible upside with the signing. I'll bet they paid him around $5 mil per but at least it's just 1 year in case he busts. It is crazy how much the team pays for bullpen pitching tho.

  10. #10
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cracka2HI! View Post
    I don't know much about advanced stats but we got a guy with 123 saves on 140 tries in the last 4 seasons as a 7th inning guy.
    The average reliever pitches a shut out inning about 75%-80% of the time.
    We should expect an average reliever to 'save' 75-80% of games in which they only have a 1 run lead. A higher percentage if it's a 2 or 3 run lead.
    Save percentage is, basically, meaningless.

    Kevin Gregg saved 33 of 38 games this season.
    Do you think Kevin Gregg is good?

  11. #11
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    After all, saves are all opportunity.

  12. #12
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    Quote Originally Posted by filihok View Post
    The average reliever pitches a shut out inning about 75%-80% of the time.
    We should expect an average reliever to 'save' 75-80% of games in which they only have a 1 run lead. A higher percentage if it's a 2 or 3 run lead.
    Save percentage is, basically, meaningless.

    Kevin Gregg saved 33 of 38 games this season.
    Do you think Kevin Gregg is good?
    Perez is at 87.8%, maybe it's a meaningless stat but that does seem good to me. Especially considering the 140 opportunities.

  13. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by LASportsFan1996 View Post
    Have no clue why we'd use Jamey ****ing Wright over Withrow and or Dominguez
    mop-up role. Every team needs one of those.

    Future Hall of Shamers:
    (1) B.A.L.C.O. Barroids (2) Mark McJuicer (3) Jose Chem-seco (4) Rafael Palmeiroids (5) Ken Chem-initi (6) Jason Gi-andro (7) Ryan Fraud (8) Muscle Melk (9) Woman-Ram (10) Shammy Sosa (11) Roger Clear-mens (12) A-Roid

  14. #14
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    Quote Originally Posted by dodgerdave View Post
    mop-up role. Every team needs one of those.
    Eh, Donnie loved Jamey back in 2012, I'm scared
    #Joc2LA

  15. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by Cracka2HI! View Post
    Perez is at 87.8%, maybe it's a meaningless stat but that does seem good to me. Especially considering the 140 opportunities.
    I read the other day that about 50% of saves are 1-run saves - 70 games
    I think that 30% were 2-run saves - 42 games
    and the other 20% were 3-run saves - 28 games

    An average pitcher pitching a shutout inning 75% of the time would save
    75% of the 70 games with
    75% of the 42 games
    75% of the 28 games
    Thats 105 saves and 35 possible blown saves

    And say when he gives up a run he gives up 1 run 50% of the time.
    In the 18 remaining 1 run games he'd blow all the saves. 0 remaining save opps
    In the 10 remaining 2 run games he'd save 5 of them. 5 remaining save opps
    In the 7 remaining 3 run games he'd save all of them. 7 remaining save opps
    That's now 110 saves

    And say he gives up 2 runs 30% of the time when he gives up a run.
    Of the 5 remaining 2 run games he'd blow all of them. 0 remaining save opps
    Of the 7 remaining 3 run games he'd blow 2 of them. Saving 5. 2 remaining save opps.

    Giving up 3 runs he'd blow up every save.

    Note: I totally made up the numbers above. If anyone wants to find the real numbers, feel free.

    We'd expect an average pitcher to save something like 115 out of 140 games. That's 82%.

    Saving 88% of games just isn't that remarkable.

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