Why I think Bulls have a better chance at upsetting Heat this year?
I really think this year Bulls have a better chance and IMO will beat the Heat team this year in the playoffs and here are my reasons and beliefs.
In 2010-11 vs This year (assuming Rose is back to close to 90% of his normal self).
(2010-11) - Bulls had a rookie coach - with 1st time in the deep playoffs run with a lot of the players that never went that far in their careers - so they were new to that experience as well while Heat had many players with deep playoff experience.
(This year) - Thibs is a much better coach this year than 2 years ago. Bulls players should be better prepared for deep playoff run this year vs 2 years ago.
(2010-11) - Bulls had injured players in Boozer (Toe), Noah (plantar fascitiis), Rose (sprained ankle TWICE) and Asik (out after 2nd game).
(This year) - So far, they all are healthy once Rose is back. Hopefully they stay healthy. Asik will be missed but he wasn't playing that year anyway. Health is a HUGE factor in why we lost that year and why we have a good chance this year.
(2010-11) - The chemistry wasn't that great between Boozer and Noah (both missed so many games and didn't play too many games TOGETHER). They both didn't play well that year - especially Boozer. Boozer was pretty pathetic and Noah was shooting pretty pathetic for a center as well.
(This year) - Bulls have a superb chemistry. Noah and Boozer play so well together and finally have had a year together to play off each other. they both playing their best basketball of their Bulls career. This year they should be very well prepared - be ready mentally and physically against Heat this year.
(2010-11) - Our starting shooting guard was Bogans who all the teams basically just ignored. Having 2 low scoring (single digit) players in the lineups (Noah and Bogans) and vs great defensive team like Heat, really hurt us big time.
(This year) - We have 2 shooting guards in Rip and Marco and 1 hybrid in Jimmy. Not to mention Kirk can also play SG and plays great D vs Wade as well. Also, Noah's offensive game has been so much better than 2 years ago - especially in the playoffs. Marco and Rip unlike Korver and Bogans, both move well without the ball and both are not afraid to shoot or take it to the hole. Something neither Bogans nor Korver would. Rip also has deep playoff run experience and also has a championship under his belt. This shooting guard help can be huge vs Heat as they can't just ignore anyone now and help on Rose.
(2010-11) - Defense and Rebounding. Their defense was at the top of the league that year and they were not a bad rebounding team. Joel Anthony was a big part of their defense. They also played big vs us.
(This year) - Their defense is not what it used to be - especially not like 2 years ago. Their rebounding just plain suck and is at the bottom of the league. While we are still at the top in both defense and rebounding. Something we will exploit in the playoffs this time around as they got smaller this year and play LeBron at PF at times.
(2010-11) - Role players: their role players did step up when they had to (Mike Miller, Haslem, Chalmers, Joel with defense) - while our role players simply sucked. None of them stepped at when things got tight and when we really needed them (none of Bogans, Watson, Korver, etc).
(This year) - I really like our role players. Butler, Nate, Rip, Marco, Kirk, etc all bring something to the table and we still have Taj who plays good vs Heat.
(2010-11) - Defense vs Rose. Some will say LeBron was the Rose stopper but IMO, it was a combination of Rose being tired, inexperienced, too much burden, hurt, and simply in a funk - along with the entire Heat team geared up to stop him. Heat played outstanding crowding defense on Rose and Rose having a shooting slump didn't help his cause. Not to mention no other ball handler to relive the pressure.
(This year) - Rose if healthy should have learned from his mistakes. He also has Kirk, Rip, Marco - who all can dribble and make plays. They are also not liability on offense and should be paid attention to if kept open. This is what will make the defense on Rose this year harder. Also, Rose not being hurt and not in the shooting slump will help - but we will have to wait and see.
So these are my reasons and beliefs on why we should be TON better this year than 2 years ago and why we have a great chance at beating the Heat team this year. This is all dependent on how well Rose plays by end of the season after his comeback and if he and the whole team is healthy.
Also, this can change depending on if Heat and/or Bulls make any moves.