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  1. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by jaysfan55 View Post
    I dont think we will carry 5 bench spots.... so I added JA Happ as the other rp...

    Batting Linueup/Stats

    SS- Reyes BA .290 HR 10 RBI 63 SB 40
    LF - Cabrerra BA .275 HR 10 RBI 68 SB 18
    RF - Bautista BA .284 HR 48 RBI 121
    1B - Encarnacion BA .270 HR 35 RBI 110
    3B - Lawrie BA .277 HR 20 RBI 77 SB 20
    CF - Rasmus BA .255 HR 26 RBI 85 SB 10
    DH - Lind BA .245 HR 25 RBI 70
    C - Arencebia BA .245 HR 29 RBI 72
    2B - Bonofacio BA .270 HR 5 RBI 49 SB 50

    Bench

    Util - Delrosa BA .215 HR 4 RBI 21
    SS/2B - Izturis BA .264 HR 6 RBI 30 SB 10
    OF - Davis BA .275 HR 9 RBI 45 SB 35
    C - Blanco BA .215 HR 4 RBI 15


    Pitching Rotation/Stats

    1 - Dickey ERA 2.84 W 19 L 6
    2 - Morrow ERA 3.10 W 17 L 10
    3 - Buerhle ERA 3.45 W 15 L 11
    4 - Johnson ERA 3.65 W 16 L 9
    5 - Romero ERA 3.98 W 17 L 12

    Bullpen/Stats

    LHP - Cecil ERA 4.10 W 3 L 4
    RHP- Happ ERA 4.04 W 6 L 3
    RHP - Rogers ERA 3.85 W 1 L 3
    RHP - Delenbar ERA 3.16 W 2 L 2
    LHP - Oliver ERA 2.46 W 2 L 0
    RHP - Janssen ERA 2.76 W 3 L 4 SVS 26
    RHP - Santos ERA 3.15 W 2 L 5 SVS 10
    I don't think the Jays will win 103 games, and if they do, I suspect as a team we'll have more than 36 saves.

  2. #17
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    SS- Reyes BA- .294 HR- 10 RBI- 72 SB- 37
    LF- Cabrerra BA- .288 HR- 16 RBI- 82 SB- 15
    RF- Bautista BA- .280 HR- 36 RBI- 109
    1B- Encarnacion BA- .280 HR- 32 RBI- 102
    3B- Lawrie BA- .290 HR- 24 RBI- 88 SB- 19
    C- Arencibia- BA- .266 HR- 22 RBI- 80
    CF- Rasmus- BA- .278 HR-25 RBI- 92 SB- 19
    DH- Lind- BA- .270 HR- 20 RBI- 78
    2B- Bonafacio- BA- .274 HR- 6 RBI- 47 SB- 39

    Delrosa- BA- .267 HR- 7 RBI- 27
    Izturis- BA- .270 HR- 6 RBI 37
    Thole- BA- .228 HR- 3 RBI- 19
    Davis BA- .268 HR- 9 RBI- 42 SB- 35

    Dickey- W 22 L 6 ERA 2.84
    Johnson- W 15 L 8 ERA 3.36
    Buerhele- W 13 L 7 ERA 3.59
    Morrow- W 16 L 8 ERA 3.50
    Romero- W 14 L 10 ERA 4.08

    Cecil- W 3 L 4 ERA 3.78
    Rogers- W 4 L 3 ERA 3.64
    Delenbar- W 4 L 2 ERA 3.08
    Happ- W 3 L 5 ERA 4.18
    Oliver- W 2 L 0 ERA 2.95
    Jannssen- W 4 L 3 ERA 3.28 SV 14
    Santos- W 3 L 3 ERA 3.25 SV 48

  3. #18
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    I'm amazed how productive people think Cecil will be this year. Unless he's nothing more than a lefty specialist, I can't see his ERA being substantially better than his career ERA (4.79). And with Oliver back, and Santos/Janssen expected to cover the back end of the pen, Cecil will be needed for more than just a lefty specialist. I also have my doubts that Delabar will be much better than his career ERA (3.70).

  4. #19
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    Quote Originally Posted by mkcavy View Post
    I'm amazed how productive people think Cecil will be this year. Unless he's nothing more than a lefty specialist, I can't see his ERA being substantially better than his career ERA (4.79). And with Oliver back, and Santos/Janssen expected to cover the back end of the pen, Cecil will be needed for more than just a lefty specialist. I also have my doubts that Delabar will be much better than his career ERA (3.70).
    Dude had a 12.55 k/9 last year with only a 3.55 bb/9 which is outstanding considering how many ppl he struck out. Those are the types numbers im looking at. ERA is a poor measure of success especially for someone coming out of the bullpen.

  5. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by Monkefied View Post
    I don't think the Jays will win 103 games, and if they do, I suspect as a team we'll have more than 36 saves.
    103 wins is very possible if they stay healthy... 36 saves was kinda light.. but not really that light.. I think we will.win alot of close games.. its gonna be an awesome year!!!

  6. #21
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    For 103 wins lots of things need to gel and is extremely difficult to do. No one even got to 100 this year and the last time to hit 103 or more was STL in 2004.

    I just hope for the playoffs, this team could hit 97-98 though...and again thats if all goes right...
    Last edited by Sanyo; 01-29-2013 at 12:08 AM.

  7. #22
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    Make or break season with Lind

    i hope Matolla can do something with him!

    nevertheless i think the jays can get at least 95 wins with this team at hand

  8. #23
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    Reyes .315 5HR 28SB
    Cabrera .308 18HR
    Bautista .267 38HR
    Encarnasion .285 34HR
    Lind .265 25HR
    Lawrie .280 15 HR 18SB
    Rasmus .230 22HR
    Arencibia .235 23HR
    Bonafacio .260 8HR 24SB

    Dickey 18-6 3.05 era
    Johnson 16-7 2.88 era
    Buerhle 14-10 4.12 era
    Morrow 17-9 3.78 era
    Romero 14-11 4.05 era

    94 wins
    Last edited by nithanyo; 01-29-2013 at 07:03 PM.

  9. #24
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    Reyes- .305, 8HR, 33 SB
    Cabrera- .285, 12HR, 18 SB
    Bautista- .270, 33HR
    EE- .288, 35HR
    Lind- .244, 22HR
    Lawrie- .275, 14HR, 14SB
    Rasmus- .240, 14HR, 20SB
    JPA- .235, 26HR
    Bonifacio- .265, 45SB

    Dickey- 22-6, 2.80ERA, AL Cy Young
    Johnson- 17-8, 3.44ERA
    Buerhle- 14-12, 4.10ERA
    Morrow- 12-5, 2.99ERA
    Romero- 17-9, 3.70ERA
    Happ- 9-5, 4.26ERA

  10. #25
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    Just out of curiosity: has anyone done any season simulations with this team in a video game? What were the numbers like? Record?

  11. #26
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    I'm not getting much into these predictions, because they're based off statistical categories I don't find very relevant (BA, RBI for hitters; Wins for pitchers), but as to the Wins column, just for a little perspective.

    Last year the teams that lead in wins by starters were the Rangers and Nationals, at 72 games each. Going back year-by-year from 2011 to 2000, the leader in that category compiled the following respective win totals: 76, 73, 70, 73, 77, 75, 81, 74, 83, 79, 83, 76.

    I'm seeing, from only 5 or 6 starters (so perhaps even more wins are factored in there from the rotation, as very few teams get away with using 5 or 6 starters), win total predictions in this thread of: 91, 79, 80, 84, 75 and 85. So, 3 of 6 predictions have this team's starters winning more games collectively than any other team in the previous 13 years. 2 others would have led the league in every year dating back to 2006 (and 10 of the previous 13 years). And all would virtually guarantee a playoff spot, with a 100 win season almost a certainty, as well (especially the higher end predictions).
    Last edited by Imwrong; 01-29-2013 at 11:25 PM.

  12. #27
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    Quote Originally Posted by lmallia View Post
    How is it people could think not a single pitcher on the Blue Jays will have a 4+ ERA? That seems almost ridiculous to assume that, no?
    Every prediction is silly when you think about it.... no one ever really knows what is going to happen when the games start.

    No one thought the Nationals would easily win their division last year either. Or thought the Rays would make the world series in 2008, just one year after they were a bottom feeder. Who called the O's making the playoffs last year?

    I think you take the forum preaching too seriously


    Had to be done! Go T-Rex

  13. #28
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    Why does almost every lineup here have Bonifacio at second despite all the evidence that it's Maicer's job to lose?
    2013

  14. #29
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    For interest sakes, here's rotochamp's composite predictions of the rotation based on a collection of predictions:

    Dickey - 14-9 3.29 ERA 1.14 WHIP
    Johnson - 12-8 3.70 ERA 1.23 WHIP
    Buehrle - 11-11 4.21 ERA 1.25 WHIP
    Morrow - 12-10 3.89 ERA 1.28 WHIP
    Romero - 12-11 4.54 ERA 1.45 WHIP

    Cecil - 2-2 4.63 ERA 1.43 WHIP
    Rogers - 4-4 4.32 ERA 1.48 WHIP
    Delabar - 3-3 3.75 ERA 1.32 WHIP
    Happ - 5-5 4.45 ERA 1.41 WHIP
    Oliver - 3-2 3.11 ERA 1.13 WHIP
    Janssen - 3-3 3.00 ERA 1.08 WHIP 11 SV
    Santos - 3-3 3.60 ERA 1.32 WHIP 26 SV

  15. #30
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    Based on those numbers we end up with 84 wins and probably not in the playoff.

  16. 02-08-2013, 03:50 PM
    Reason
    spam

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