
Originally Posted by
Wrigheyes4MVP
This is true, but for those people thinking we would be an 85 win team with Bourn...that would mean we would be an 80 win team as is.
We all know this is not true.
We are a 70 win team today...if we want to be realistic with ourselves.
We won 74 games last season, and the only moves we have made this season have been lateral moves. These may have been smart lateral moves to make us younger and more well rounded, but still lateral moves.
Our bullpen can and should be much better, but lets face it...we still have massive issues there.
Our offense still sucks, and the only thing we did to improve it was to trade our Cy Young winner. And we may not even be improved for all we know. Remember...we lost our best OFer from last year...and career best year from Scott Hairston.
Overall, we are younger and this offseason helped build toward that youth, but you are kidding yourselves if you think we actually improved this offseason.
I think we made enough smaller moves to win about 70 games this year (Solid BP moves, OF minor league additions that could make an impact on the big league squad, and I love the Marcum signing).
Still though, it SHOULDN'T be expected that we win more games than last year.
Adding Bourn would make us about a 75 win team. That is being realistic.
Having said all that, these are just realistic projections based on facts. That DOES NOT mean this team can't overachieve. Unforseen things can happen. The A's and O's are examples of that. These types of things happen every year. It is entirely possible it could happen for us. So, I am not saying that signing Bourn is a futile idea.
However, there is risk involved in this move (particularly in the long term) that may not be worth the likely reward.