I mean you did see what Anibal Sanchez demanded right? In light of that I don't see how you can call this an over pay at all.
That Cubs team was 2nd in the NL in runs allowed. The rotation then was decidedly better then than it's expected to be here in 2013. Don't fool yourself.
I also think Jackson is considerably better than a 4/5, but this rotation isn't all that much better on paper at this juncture than it was last year. Jackson replaces Dempster and the better of Feldman/Baker replaces Maholm. On paper, Villanueva doesn't appear to be all that more exciting than Volstad was, and Wood is still Wood.
And Rizzo, as nice as he was, cooled off quite a bit after his scorching start. Still a solid player, but an .800 to .850 OPS is pretty much the production that LaHair had through the end of June. More time from Castillo, Shuerholtz is replacing Marlon Byrd... and that's pretty much the additions to the 2013 roster. It just doesn't add up to much. There are still a few players to had out there, and there's certainly going to be some regression to the mean, but this Cubs team still projects out to be one of the 5 or 6 worst in baseball as it currently stands.
OOTP TKO League Milwaukee Brewers 2010-2032:
2011-1655, .549 Win %
10 NL Central Titles, 2 Wild Card 12 Total Playoff Appearances
1 World Series Title (2021)
Now you can luxuriate in a nice jail cell, but if your hand touches metal, I swear by my pretty floral bonnet: I will end you.
Gavin Floyd FIP 4.46 xFIP 4.26 SIERA 4.07 fWAR 2.0 IP 168
Edwin Jackson FIP 3.85 xFIP 3.79 SIERA 3.75 fWAR 2.7 IP 189.2
To answer your question, if Floyd was coming off of his 2011 I absolutely would have. Unfortunately his 2012 was just not very good so at this point no I wouldn't.
A Garza/Jackson/Villanueva/Shark/Feldman rotation with Wood and Baker as depth/bullpen help is solid. If Villanueva can stick as a starter this can potentially be a legitimately good rotation.
Going into that season, I was livid that Dempster was going to start for us. I expected him be terrible. Many felt this way.
So, yea, there are plenty of candidates in this rotation to have great years like that. Shark, Garza, and Jackson all can do it. Hell, even Baker could be surprisingly good (for a rehab year).
I think Philip Rivers might have aspergers
Also, call me Bibbers, because it's a much cooler name than my username.