What kind of return can we get for Ells right now? And what kind of return could we get for him at the trade deadline if he is having a GOOD not great but good year.
You take the risk that ells has a great year. Even if its only a good one his value will remain the same. Take the risk his value rises
If you go into the season with him then you risk that he play, gulp, to his career norm. For him to fetch anything of worth at the trade deadline you've got to hope that he's hitting at least that well but with a better OBP AND that he's stealing bases. You've also got to go to the deadline hoping that a contender has an unproductive CF and/or has an injury. The chances that he repeats 2011 are extraordinarily low so you need these market factors to force his value up.
Option C is to play through the deal and take a pick at the end of the season. Qualifying offers will probably be closer to $14M/yr next year and there are only two deals to OFers at that level right now, and one went to a player younger than Jacoby. It's not unrealistic to think that he might not be worth a QO and miss a pick.
Take the pick..maybe in 12 years the pick will be ready to play in Pawtucket.
F'n team is a JOKE....
love ur advitar pic Patsfreak
Only way the sox trade Ells is if things arn't looking good at the deadline..
I'd be pretty surprised if boston is too far away (if at all) at the deadline.
honestly the most i offer is a 5 year deal worth 70 million. He won't take it, but who cares. If he does then ok, anything more than that is just way to risky
Jackie Bradley Junior.... that is all
So if Ellsbury took a lesser deal, to stay in Boston, would anyone care? Or is it just a he needs to go kinda thing? I'm up in the air about it. Sometimes I think well if we keep him, we can move him to LF when Bradley is ready. Then other times i'm thinking Bradley is a better player, and we need a power bat in LF. I still like Ellsbury a lot!
From the front office point of view, I believe they have a plan and are going to stick to it regardless. What I mean by that is this. Regardless of our record they are still going to stick to there bridge year plan.
There isn't a player that everyone here likes, at least all the time. When Bradley comes up and goes into a slump all the Ellsbury lovers will be saying I told you so. Last year people couldn't shove Youk out the door fast enough to make room for the superstar WMB, now I'm sure I'll be reading about trade ideas for him.
On and on it goes, but you have to keep somebody and put a team on the field. I'd like to see them keep Ells, even if we overpay.
Realistically I can't see us getting a lot for Ellsbury. If he starts to light it up in the HR department, then that changes. He is having a very good season so far. I was praying that Rizzo would slump in the beginning while Ellsbury went off and we traded Ellsbury + for Rizzo and Soriano. Soriano was just a big contract to make it sweeter for the Cubs... This is not gonna happen so....
Sure we have to have a roster. I just don't think Ellsbury's agent will allow him to come back for an affordable contract. If we pay the freight then I'm very concerned and very sure he will come nowhere near reaching it.
Last edited by bagwell368; 04-24-2013 at 10:58 AM.