Three home games out of four and weaker opponents are huge factors. The Football Outsiders guys are getting pretty decent at predicting these things as they have tweaked their stats over the years.
Originally Posted by wissportsfan
Think of the wildest, most irresponsible adult you know. Now think of them hammered in a bar. Now picture them hammered in a bar openly carrying a loaded gun among a bunch of other drunk people with loaded guns. If this sounds like a good idea to you, you could be governor of Georgia or South Carolina.