Patriots Forum Hall of Fame Class of 2013
I don't think that the Sox avoid Sanchez "because of the kids" or because of the money. I think they avoid him because he's not that that good a value. I'm with Bags on this. Personally, I don't think that his transition to the AL was that great. He had success primarily against weaker hitting AL clubs that would be middling offenses even in the NL. Given a year for AL clubs to make adjustments to him I'm not confident that he'd be a 110 OPS+ pitcher. So-so numbers against AL East teams, against whom he'd pitch half the season, and the general downward trend in his numbers (OPS+) are also a concern. He'd be a good buy at $60M/4yr but at either more AAV or years.
As for King Felix, I'd be very cautious about extending a big contract with him when he hits FA after 2014 for precisely the reason that you mentioned. By the time hits FA (if the Ms don't lock him up) he will have amassed roughly 2100IP at age 28. To put that in perspective, the last guy like him to hit the (trade) market was Johan Santana. Folks around here scoffed at Bags and I when we argued against trading for him (Lester or Buchholz, Masterson, and 2 more pieces) after 2008. We noted a 3yr regression in his performance. While still dominant the trend suggested where the next big contract would land. And we were right. So far the Mets have gotten one full season from Santana (the last year of his Twins deal) followed by three 3/4 seasons and one completely missed year. The time that he has pitched has been nowhere near the peak he had running up to the trade. Felix has a better physical build for the workload but the significantly higher IP count at the same age should be a warning sign. Like Johan his performance is still dominant but xFIP is starting to climb. Beware.
The market for Salty certainly seems likely to improve as names come off the board. Napoli going back out on the market (if true) could mess things up.
via rotoFOX Sports' Ken Rosenthal writes that while it's "too strong" to say that Boston's deal with Mike Napoli is in jeopardy, the two sides still have some issues to work through.
Napoli was originally expected to have his introductory press conference on Tuesday, but the event didn't happen. This led to some speculation that the deal may have hit a snag, possibly relating to his physical. It's not clear what the current issue is or when there will be a resolution. Napoli is slated to get a three-year, $39 million contract.
My hopes on him is that he pitched well in Milwakee which is a launching pad. His fastball is Wakefield like, but he does have 5 functional pitches which he throws for strikes fairly well. His HR/9 is pretty good as well. He's usually good pre ASB and brutal after. Maybe he's just your basic #5 SP that should be on a tight pitch count (meh after pitch 75). So build him up, or just don't use him after 75 pitches.
He has been spanked by the Yanks and Tigers however.
Well. We'll see. If he signs for 1/2 the price of Sanchez and for 3 years it will appeal to the FO.
One question I'll have to put a little more thought into before I give my opinion on it though is would signing Marcum block our young arms who are 1-2 years away and have a negative affect on their development? I'm leaning no since it would require all 3 of Barnes, Rubby and Webster to work out for any of them to be blocked and assuming 3 out of 3 prospect pitchers will pan out is just silly. I'm under the assumption at least one maybe two will end up a solid bullpen piece and of course there's the possibility any of them could just bust all together.
Patriots Forum Hall of Fame Class of 2013
Please god no! Not what he wants.Ken Rosenthal@Ken_Rosenthal
Source: #RedSox, Dempster in serious discussions. No deal yet; still possible he could sign elsewhere.
He's a funny guy who pulls pranks, so I'm not surprised they are after him.
Marcum will sign a one year deal if he can't find more, but will take more years if he isn't low balled.
Done? Based on what? He looked good from May-August last year - if short of GS and IP.
Kens tweet is misleading . He says They In Serious Talks but nothing is close. would that be that they are just talking?
Proud to be PSD's Chris Kelly!The Chris Kelly Watch: 3 G /0 A/ 3 Pts / 2 +/-
He went to the top self where Momma keeps the Peanut Butter & Where i hid the Porno's
I'd rather sign Jackson than Dempster. It will probably be a bad signing if it happens since he rejected a 2-year offer before. That means 3+ years for a guy who's 38? PASS.