The team obviously values his potential with the contract they gave him, he is obviously a talented individual who can elevate the team if his mind is right. His season has been a sort of mixed bag in every sense, his perception is so conflicted that people within the statistical community range from questioning George Karl's intelligence for not playing him to those who think hes developing him nicely and probably playing him too much. So which is closer to reality?
Individually his productivity is off the chart, if you translate his stats to 36MPG hes basically a 20-11-3BLKS threat, so why does he only play 18MPG? Why doesn't he start over the far less productive Koufas?
Well a look at his +/- numbers reveal that the units that feature him tend to fair very poorly, like a 180 degree difference. This has been consistent with his career numbers outside of that lone playoff appearance.
Skeptics will point out that hes playing with bench players which even on a team as deep as the Nuggs is still a disadvantage. Which can be true, we only have a small amount of minutes from a Javale+Starters unit sample, the early results arent pretty. It seems his presence has stifled the starters game.
Check out the early season returns on his starting teammates
The Javale Effect (Version .01)
Per minute rates followed by ( Team +/- during that span)
Code:Teammate -- Without Javale -- With Javale -- NET Ty -- 13.9PTS (+3.6) -- 10.8PTS (- 6.1) -- -9.7 Iggy -- 16.7PTS (+3.3) -- 14.3PTS (- 8.4) -- -11.7 Danilo -- 17.8PTS (+5.1) -- 14.6PTS (-10.9) -- -16 Faried -- 15.9PTS (+2.3) -- 13.3PTS (- 4.3) -- -6.6
So heres the conundrum, they have played at their best with Koufas, but they have invested too much money Javale for him to just be a project. Should they go all in and hope it clicks, stay the course and hope his development intertwines with their high hopes for the season, or move him?
I guess the bigger question Im asking is, what do you make of a very productive player with a history of dragging down his teammates efficiency?
Do +/- stats outweigh individual production in certain extreme cases?