We all know that if we win out, we'll win the division. But what about other scenarios? According to ESPN's playoff machine - if we and Dallas have identical records heading into our week 17 match-up - if we lose to them, they'll win the division as long as the Giants lose at least 1 of their remaining 2 games. Dallas would own a tie breaker over us based on best win percentage in common games and a tie breaker over the Giants based on best win percentage in division games. Record vs common opponents ranks as a higher tie-breaker than conference wins (http://espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?page=tiebreakers). However, if the Giants were to win out - assuming the same conditions ('skins and Dallas go 1-1 in final 2 weeks but Dallas beats us), the Giants would win the division.
I think the only way we can lose 1 of our remaining games and still win the division is if it's against the Eagles and the Giants also lose 1 of their remaining 2 games. So if we lose next week to the Eagles and Dallas beats NO, but then we beat Dallas the following week and the Giants go 1-1 in the final 2 weeks, we win the division.
Unless I screwed something up, that's what our division title scenarios look like. At least we're in control of our own destiny and we can win it by winning out.
I wonder if any of this will factor into whether or not RG3 plays next week if there's still any question about his health. Obviously we want to win out because it's our only way to control winning the division, but playing the percentages, the Dallas game is the most important so I wonder if there's any chance we'd sit RG3 another week to ensure having him at 100% for Dallas in light of how well Cousins played and the fact that we're facing the lowly Eagles next week.
Anyone know how we're looking on the Wild Card front just in case we don't win out?