my guess will be 6 for 85-90. I think if we are in play vs Philly...and we don't want to lose the negotiation (and mlbtraderumors says we are likely to pay more than we had hoped for).....then I would assume 6 yrs would be the deal.
Nats priority one is Laroche...they feel they are too right handed if they add Upton. I could see the mystery team as Boston, NYY or LAD. Those are all spenders that haven't been linked yet. TEX has been linked in the past...so they could be the mystery. I think BJ benefits from going East Coast and Nat'l League
please do not sign this guy wren. this would be a career-defining mistake for you. This dude strikes out 150 times a season. His OPS hovers around .750 and it has been four seasons since his WAR has reached 3.0. There is a reason the rays have one of the best front office staffs. They dont overspend for overrated players and they draft well, probably with the draft picks they get when other teams give their overrated players bad contracts.
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I think Upton is a perfect buy-low candidate because he gets so knocked for what he can't do (like be a once-in-a-generation superstar, as he was once projected to be). Focus on what he CAN do, and there's actually a darn good player there.
I think we will sign him for about 13 mil. Maybe 4 years plus a team option, 60mil. I think we will overpay, but thats because the opposition is the phillies. Either way its not 16 mil like bourn is asking. Best thing is Bj hasnt hit his prime. So with a real lineup and hitting coaches, he could really turn it around
I sure hope we are actually this "real lineup" you speak of...Just throwing it out there.
The Rays sport a .240/.317/.394 line with a .155 ISO, .311 wOBA, 100 wRC+. 697 runs scored
Bravos 700 runs scored, .247/.320/.389 with a .142 ISO, .310 wOBA, 92 wRC+.
The argument could be made that they had the better offense and we had more talent. Got to produce..
Kind of seems like another Uggla deal where the buyer sacrifices defense and strikeouts for presumed power (and SBs with the case of Upton (respectable OBP with Uggla)).
His price tag will really determine how I feel about him. I know the market changes; and $15M/season isn't what it used to be, but I have serious misgivings about offering Upton that much.
I really don't think it's going to take 15 mil to sign him. Hopefully I'm right. But if thats the case, its a medium risk high reward if he can play to even 75% of his talent level.
I dont want to see upton in philly with that short porch...
Now we MUST get him. If Philly gets him, it hurts double.
1991 Lost WS to Twins 4-3
1992 Lost WS to Blue Jays 4-2
1993 Lost NLCS to Phillies 4-2
1996 Lost WS to Yankees 4-2 (led 2-0)
1997 Lost NLCS to Marlins 4-2
1998 Lost NLCS to Padres 4-2
1999 Lost WS 4-0 to Yankees
2000 Lost NLDS 3-0 to Cardinals
2001 Lost NLCS to Diamondbacks 4-1
2002 Lost NLDS 3-2 to Giants
2003 Lost NLDS 3-2 to Cubs
2004 Lost NLDS 3-2 to Astros
2005 Lost NLDS 3-1 to Astros
2010 Lost NLDS 3-1 to Giants
2012 Lost NLWC 1-0 to Cardinals
2013 Lost NLDS 3-1 to Dodgers
It's a risky move, but I think it's one that we need to make.