We don't actually KNOW how Smoak will turn out either.
He could be a Nelson Cruz and be a late bloomer.
its a nice thought, but when a guy struggles to the extent smoak has, the rule is he isnt going to be successful hitting MLB pitching.
because of the market and the cost of smoak (and his D), i dont think we need to be gung ho to replace him, but in the case of acquiring billy butler, there should be no hesitation.
i think there can still be a place on the roster for smoak with butler, jesus can be back up catcher as well as transition to 1b... vs RHP smoak can get spot starts and be a regular D replacement at the end of close games.