Grienke is at best 5-10 Bert pitcher in the MLB...not top 5. Is he an "ace" yes and no, depending of the staff. In any case, he is a very good pitcher ad certainly the best FA this year. That alone builds his hype. He will definitely get more than he is worth but I double he gets 150 mil.
Greinke is a legitimate ace.
I honestly don't think Greinke is a top tier ace. He has only had one year of real consistency
How can you be consistent for one year?
Secondly, since 2009 (last four seasons)
Greinke is 5th in fWAR (23.5) behind Verlander, Lee, Hernandez, and Halladay
He is tied for 3rd in FIP with Verlander and Halladay
And he is 3rd in xFIP behind Halladay and Lee
14th in innings
and he is 4th in K/BB
If he isn't a top-tiered pitcher in all of baseball, then I guess Verlander, Halladay, and Hernandez are not either.
He is an absolute beast on the mound. He doesn't sustain the best ERA, but he is clearly doing his part to be a dominant pitcher, and he deserves to get 'ace' caliber money.
If he wants that type of money, he should sign with the Rockies.
You said he
Which isn't true.I honestly don't think Greinke is a top tier ace. He has only had one year of real consistency
He has been very consistent.
He had one year of elite caliber play, and has been consistently dominant since them (the last three years).
Last three seasons
I don't know what else he is supposed to do to be more 'consistent'
Greinke by rWAR
3.3 in 2012
Nothing wrong with calling him inconsistent, and you can beat teams will look hard into his character. Even if it was over a half decade ago, this is still a player who almost quit playing pro ball because he was not feeling right in the head. If you're going to put 20+ million into him, and some team will, you better be sure of what you're getting.
I do think those WAR numbers don't fully reflect the talent level of the player and he's closer to the 4-5 WAR pitcher he's been on FanGraphs. He's entering his prime years as a pitcher and I will not be surprised if he's well worth the money he's paid (possibly he even offers surplus value). He has many attributes that I think will allow him to age very gracefully as a pitcher (fit, athletic, healthy, throws hard, gets strikeouts, only recently relying less on his fastball).
Zach Grienke on the other hand has yet to be the true standout ace on any staff since leaving KC and is one year removed from missing 200 IP. Upwards of 25 million per year for the next 5 years would mean he has to pitch in a big market and I would assume if you are one of the top 3 highest paid pitchers in the game that the team that signs that contract will want him to e the anchor of their rotation. I am just not so sure that Greinke could handle the expectations of playing in a big market with that kind of money. Those fanbases will be expecting an expecting an extremely dominant pitcher for that kind of money (see Verlander dominance).