And that's exactly why I am worried we lose him to the Dodgers.
Considering they signed Uribe, and almost signed Huff, I think Affeldt to LA is a very real possibility especially since Choate is a FA and they won't really have a LOOGY in the bullpen.
2014 Indianapolis Colts: Let's Hunt
"[He's] a really complete player... There's not really any weaknesses to his game." - Bill Belichick on Andrew Luck
"Luck has the most diverse skill set of any NFL quarterback" - Ron Jaworski on Andrew Luck being a top 5 QB
It's funny how so many of us weren't too happy with the amount of money Sabean invested in LOOGY's last offseason, and now most of those same people are ready to pay whatever it takes to retain Affeldt.
I'm hoping for no sentimental/emotional signings this offseason. Pay a guy what he's worth moving forward, and if it's not good enough let him walk. The core members of this team are already in place, and I'd have to think that free agents are becoming less wary of signing with the Giants after their recent successes.
The San Francisco Giants have completed their improbable playoff run with the ultimate prize: a World Series Title. After a period of 56 years without a championship, the Giants now have two titles in three years. While the city of San Francisco and its fans are still celebrating, it is already time to start looking towards next season and where this Giants team is headed.
The Giants have ten players who are scheduled to become free agents. Melky Cabrera, Angel Pagan, Marco Scutaro, Jeremy Affeldt, Clay Hensley, Xavier Nady, Brad Penny, Freddy Sanchez, and Ryan Theriot will all be unrestricted free agents. The Giants will more than likely re-sign Pagan, Scutaro, and Affeldt. All three of these men had more than solid seasons this year, and all had key roles in their World Series run. Each will likely garner multi-year deals, with Pagan's likely to be the longest and worth the most. Something along the lines of a 3-year, 16-20 million dollar range sounds right. Expect Scutaro and Affeldt to sign two-year deals. Scutaro will be a tricky one, given his age (37). Despite his phenomenal play in a San Francisco uniform, there is reason to believe Scutaro won't be able to repeat his play next year. General Manager Brian Sabean can't give another aging veteran too big of a contract (Edgar Renteria and company).
The most interesting of the bunch is Melky Cabrera. Prior to his 50-game suspension for use of performance-enhancing drugs, he was leading the National League in hitting, was the All-Star Game MVP, and a leading candidate for regular season MVP. There is no denying that Cabrera’s success over the first half of the year was a key factor in getting the Giants to the playoffs. He lied to the Giants about the positive test, then fabricated a story involving a phony website that offered the product that caused the positive test. It’s within reason to think he could be back next year on a one-year, $4 million dollar ballpark deal. But it all comes down to his relationship with the club, something only they know.
The rest of the free agents are question marks. It looks like the Giants liked Hensley out of the bullpen, so he should be back. It's hard to expect Mota, Nady, and Penny back. Sanchez might be signed to a one-year deal, but that is all dependent on his shoulder's health. And Theriot will probably be back in a backup infielder capacity.
Arbitration Players: Emmanuel Burriss, Santiago Casilla, Tim Lincecum, Jose Mijares, Hunter Pence, Buster Posey, Sergio Romo, Pablo Sandoval, Eli Whiteside, and Brian Wilson.
Sandoval and Lincecum signed extensions last season so won't be going to arbitration this year. Look for big paydays coming for Romo, Casilla, and Posey. Pence was already making $10 million+, so his salary shouldn't budge much. Romo made $1.5 million this year. After a dominant regular season and then near-flawless postseason, Romo's salary might end up near $4 or $5 million. Casilla made $2.2 million this season, accumulating 25 saves while helping fill in for Brian Wilson. With a 2.22 ERA with the Giants, look for Casilla's salary to bump up to near $4 million. And then there's the likely NL MVP Posey. Making just $615 thousand dollars, a HUGE payday is in his future. He was the unquestioned leader of this team and offense, and had a monster season. When this year's arbitration is over, Posey's salary could easily be around $10-$13 million. Burriss and Whiteside didn't do much of anything this year and spent a lot of time in AAA. Their respective salaries should remain the same. Mijares pitched well, so he'll get a minor salary bump.
Then there is Brian Wilson. Wilson isn't a free agent until after the 2013 season. But the Giants should start figuring out what they plan on doing with him now. He missed 99 percent of the season after undergoing 'Tommy John' surgery, but is expected to be ready for next season. With that said, Wilson will command a sizeable salary as a free agent, and the Giants must decide if they'll commit at least ten million dollars per year to retain their closer long term. What makes the decision all the more difficult is the way the bullpen was able to step-in and replace his production (the team had over 50 saves this season). Bullpen by committee is a formula that rarely works, but when you're a team with a bunch of very solid arms, it can actually be used to a team's advantage. The closer position is a vastly overrated position, and things did not work out well the last time the Giants spent a lot of money on a closer (see Armando Benitez). Now with that said, it would be ill advised for the Giants to allocate a large sum of money on a closer who is incredibly shaky at times and has a history of injuries. A smaller contract would best suit the Giants, it would just be a matter of Wilson wants to stay in SF or go to where the money is. With the emergence of cheaper options like Casilla and Romo, Wilson may have closed his last game as a Giant.
Free Agent Market:
The Giants will be linked to guys like Josh Hamilton and Michael Bourn, but Sabean needs to err on the side of caution with free agent signings. That area seems to be his only real weak-link as a GM. If he pursues a top-tier hitter, he cannot afford to sign them to too long of a deal. While a guy like Hamilton or Bourn would undoubtedly bolster the Giant’s lineup and defense, don’t expect any big signings. After the 2010 championship, Sabean made sure to put his attention into signing his free agents. Since Sabean has plenty of “in-house” signing to take care of, the Giants should have a relatively quiet offseason as they gear towards yet another title in 2013.
Dynasty is a word thrown around all of the time by sports media. But two titles in three years is definitely something worth discussing. They won this year just like they did in 2010: with phenomenal pitching, timely hitting, and catching most conceivable breaks. The lineup should maintain, the rotation and bullpen will be the same, and expectations will remain high. This team was built to a long-term contender. As Market Street hosts another championship parade, there’s reason to believe it could happen again next season. With a stellar nucleus, this team is built to win again. 2013 might not be their year, but expect more titles to land in San Francisco in the near future.
Barry Lamar Bonds. .393/.967/1.054....on 3-0 counts.
lol, Please' top 10 p4p: Mayweather/Marquez/Pacquiao/Bradley/Cotto/Wlad/Rigondeaux/Froch/Canelo/Maidana
The #1 priority needs to be resigning Affeldt, obviously going any higher than $7 million annually is nonsense but we can offer him a 3-year contract with a 4th year option...
The main reason for our two championship trophies is the pitching top to bottom...
The very close #2 priority is getting Scutaro resigned, he's extremely invaluable both on the field & in the clubhouse...(resign Theriot as well to backup)
After that I trust the FO to figure out the OF situation...
Personally, I'd probably let Pagan walk; he's going to command more than he's worth... yes he was a big part of WS championship but he's too streaky to be paid like a highly above average player
of the elite FA's, Nick Swisher is the one that intrigues for he'd bring consistent power & OBP & would be a great fit in clubhouse...
other FA's (non big names) to keep an eye on: Juan Pierre (he could start in LF & leadoff; could be replaced late in game by Blanco for defensive purposes), Shane Victorino (would be great to have if he'd accept a part-time role against lefties, though highly unlikely)...If we go the older route, Torii Hunter & Ichiro Suzuki could both fill LF nicely on potential one-year deals
On the trade front, a couple names that pop to mind are Shin Soo Choo & Denard Span, of whom could fill LF & CF respectively...there are other likely acquirable options as well for the outfield....If we do end up going the trade route our best trade chips include Santiago Casilla (due to for a pay raise plus with Wilson working way back & Hembree/Brett Bochy in the wings), Hector Sanchez (capable MLB starting C), Francisco Peguero, Jose Mijares, one of the young SP prospects...
Last edited by Giants-49ers-Ws; 11-03-2012 at 03:55 PM.