(Iman Shumpert will start covering Lebron, but Dudley will see a lot of time on him as well)
Congrats to Chac for making another conference finals. One of the best PSD GMs in the game
Cliff notes on why Hartford would win:
1) Depth. We’re two deep at every position.
2) We have a balanced attack offensively, and good team defense across the board.
3) After Lebron, we feel that there is a lot of inconsistent offensive options for Westwood
4) Hartford has a clear advantage in the post, specifically at center.
5) There is no shutting down Lebron, but we have the players to shut down his supporting cast. Lebron can’t do it alone.
Kyle Lowry vs George Hill
Looking at the point guard matchup, we see a distinct advantage in Hartford’s favor. Hill is a nice player, but Lowry is better overall. George Hill is still a slight question mark – He has only started 64 games in his career (Lowry has started 139, and was a full time starter each of his last two seasons). Considering these players are expected to be facilitators: George Hill posted an AST% of 18.8% to Kyle Lowry’s 32.3%. Lowry also accounted for a better TRB%, STL%, had a higher USG%, and a better WS/48.
We feel that Lowry is a better facilitator, the better defender, and fits better into his role on the team. He will run high pick and rolls with Boozer, and be able to spot up on the 3pt line to wait for kickouts from our bigs (37%+ from 3pt the past two seasons)
Jared Dudley vs Wes Matthews
We’re going to start with Dudley guarding the 2 and Shumpert guarding the 3.
Dudley is our fourth option on offense, and he will benefit by seeing open looks from 3pt range all day. He’s a career 40%+ shooter from 3pt range, and he’s among the leagues best shooters from deep each year.
As you can see, Dudley performs well in matchups against Matthews when the two cover each other. Dudley shot 80%, 80% and 64% from the field in each of their last three matchups, and had no problem getting open looks from the floor.
He would be able to match Matthews scoring output with better efficiency throughout the series.
Iman Shumpert vs Lebron James
Shumpert is going to start on Lebron. We don’t expect anyone to shut down Lebron, but it makes sense to allow Shumpert to try to keep up with him. He’s our best perimeter defender, and he has the best chance of bothering Lebron over the course of a series. Should Iman get into foul trouble, Dudley would slide back over and we would bring Shannon Brown and Vince Carter off the bench as primary wing reserves. Shumpert measures in at 6’5”+ with a 6’10 wingspan. While he’s not the traditional small forward, we feel like he’s going to have the athletic ability to try to hinder Lebron’s performances.
Offensively, Shump is a fast break player. He finishes in transition, he’ good at coming off screens and slashing to the hoop, and I feel like he wasn’t very well utilized in New York last season. He’s got the ability to jump out of the gym, and he fears no defenders:
He’s our fifth option on the offensive end, and we feel like he’d be able to add 10+ points per game without much effort from breakaways and baseline cuts behind the defense.
Carlos Boozer vs Ryan Anderson
This is an interesting matchup. Anderson is a 3pt shooter and Boozer is a pick and roll mid-range power forward.
I’ll let Boozer’s past three performances againt Anderson do the talking for me:
Clearly, Boozer has gotten the better of Anderson. Anderson didn’t score more than 11 points while guarded by Boozer, and Boozer dropped 20+ points on him in each of the matchups.
Anderson is a good compliment to Lebron, but he performs poorly against Boozer.
Andrew Bynum vs Marcus Camby
Marcus Camby is still alive?
Portland tried to use him as a Bynum stopper, how did that work out?
Yeah, he doesn’t slow down Bynum at all. Bynum would abuse Camby over the course of a series. Additionally, Camby provides absolutely NOTHING offensively for Westwood’s team.
I believe our bench is superior and more well-rounded than Westwood’s. Looking at the individual matchups:
Brandon Knight – Kirk Hinrich
Shannon Brown – Daequan Cook
Vince Carter – Martell Webster
Drew Gooden – JJ Hickson
Andre Drummond | Sheldon Williams – Timofey Mozgof
My bench consists of five players that were primary starters last season, and one lottery pick who looks AMAZING so far, especially on the defensive end. I think our depth is one of our biggest strengths. We can be aggressive guarding Lebron, and still bring quality players off the bench to maintain a high level of performance.
Also, it doesn’t hurt to be able to bring the GOAT bench player out:
Thanks for reading.
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