Sickels also mentioned his plate discipline pre-season 2012:
BA after his first HR at Boise:12) Jeimer Candelario, 3B, Grade C+: Outstanding performance in the Dominican Summer League. Scouting reports are good, too. Unfortunately DSL performance is not particularly predictive, but he has good plate discipline and scouts are impressed with him. May face position switch. Could rank much higher once we see him in North America.
The guy is universally praised for his plate approach in the small snippets you can find online...He's one of the hugest upside guys in the system. Said it yesterday but come 2016 he could be the guy we're talking about that is pushing Rizzo and not Vogelbach.Candelario is a switch-hitter with a mature approach to hitting and power from both sides of the plate. He has work to do to remain at third base, but the Cubs have a potential breakout prospect on their hands here.
Not out of nowhere either, as he was a 500K bonus baby when he signed IIRC.
They're really not that concerning. Candelario right now is at 3B, so while the bat will carry him we're not talking a non-athlete. You overrate the crap out of the walk at that level of baseball, and holding an 18 year old jumping two levels to his DSL line as fully predictive of what he'd do...Sorry it's just a little amateur, and I mean that in the least offensive way that can be taken on the internet.The slightly higher K rate was to be expected, it's the other two things that are a bit concerning.
I think too much of your analysis is based on things that don't matter...arbitrary walk totals and randomly selected expected OPS...push those aside and this is a very impressive long term prospect.
Last edited by SenorGato; 12-30-2012 at 12:52 AM.
I like a little more context and information when looking at my 18 year old minor leaguers. Not all .700 OPSs are the same, especially at that level of ball.You never want to see a guy who is going to rely almost entirely on his bat put up a mid .700OPS.
He came across states and slugged 3 less XBHs than he did in the DSL in roughly the same number of plate appearances...Doing this two levels above the DSL as the youngest player on his team by a full year before Almora showed up.
The only concern I have on Candelario is his ability to stick at 3B. Thats a legit question. His offensive numbers as an 18 year old don't bother me whatsoever.
I'm already viewing him as a 1B prospect by the time his prospect-dom is all said and done. A switch hitting 1B who can hit for average, power, make consistent contact, and draw a good amount of walks....
For more Candelario optimism...Chipper at 18 at the rookie ball level coming off being a tippy top draft pick put up a .529 OPS. He walked 14 times in 164 PAs (8.5% hem hem) and 25 Ks (15.3%)...He broke out big time the next year, something I don't expect Candelario to do but wouldn't be stunned by either.
This guy Candelario seriously has every bit the ceiling of a Rizzo or Vogelbach (all around). He's the furthest away from it of the bunch THO, but Vogelbach is within the range for him to pass sooner.
His numbers were damn good until he went into the slump. Yet, looking at his numbers he still wasnt overmatch by higher levels of experience. This to me is an indication of him getting tired, rather than being worried.
If he started to strikeout at a insane rate in addition to his bb%(was not bad by any means) dropping then i would worry. As it stands now thre only knock on candy is his defense. Which is usually the case at such a early stage of any players career.