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  1. #1
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    American League Central

    Has the AL Central gone from one of the worst divisions to one of the best? If not best, maybe one of the toughest to win?

    Think it was Olney who wrote about it earlier in the week.

    Also saw a story by Fangraphs that said the AL Central winner would win 86 and that the top team in the majors would win 88. Seems absurd right? There will be at least one team that wins more than 90 right?

  2. #2
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    Toughest to win IMO

  3. #3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mantle7 View Post
    Also saw a story by Fangraphs that said the AL Central winner would win 86 and that the top team in the majors would win 88. Seems absurd right? There will be at least one team that wins more than 90 right?
    Link to this story? I don't think it said what you think it said.

  4. #4
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    projections are always ridiculously conservative...

    but the AL Central should be fun to watch this season.

  5. #5
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    Quote Originally Posted by LASportsFan1996 View Post
    projections are always ridiculously conservative...
    I don't know that they are ridiculously conservative.

    They factor in the possibility of injury or falling off of the face of the earth - most people don't consider this when predicting how a player will perform - they are being overly optimistic.

  6. #6
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    Quote Originally Posted by LASportsFan1996 View Post
    projections are always ridiculously conservative...

    but the AL Central should be fun to watch this season.
    Seems like every year, four of the five teams have a "patsy" in the division.. The remaining team plays .500 against everyone else, make the division winner as the team that beat up more than one team within the division.

    For the coming season, as things stand now... it's pretty clear to anyone or everyone that the Tigers have lost some ground.. They're not doormats nor are than rolling over and playing dead.. Losing 2/5ths of their starting rotation is the problem.. The Royals learned how to win..but have lost one of their most important leaders of their pitching staff.. The Indians have a lot of good pitching but not a lot of improvement in the scoring runs area.. The CWSox have solidly improved from a 73 win team with additions on all three parts of the game (Pitching Defense and Hitting).. The Twins..play fundamentally sound baseball.. usually.. last year.. not so much.. The twins have a lot of young talent about ready to burst onto the big stage..

    So, this should be a division that sees the 19 games versus the division result in a lot of beating each other up. When that happens..90 wins looks pretty darn good.. darn good indeed..

    Thoughts?..

  7. #7
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mantle7 View Post
    Has the AL Central gone from one of the worst divisions to one of the best? If not best, maybe one of the toughest to win?

    Think it was Olney who wrote about it earlier in the week.

    Also saw a story by Fangraphs that said the AL Central winner would win 86 and that the top team in the majors would win 88. Seems absurd right? There will be at least one team that wins more than 90 right?
    Usually, the wild card teams win 89 games, there will be several teams with 90 wins, like there is every year.

    Number of teams with 90 wins
    2014 - 6 teams
    2013 - 11 teams
    2012 - 9 teams
    2011 - 9 teams
    2010 - 9 teams
    2009 - 7 teams
    2008 - 6 teams
    2007 - 6 teams
    2006 - 6 teams
    2005 - 7 teams
    2004 - 10 teams
    2003 - 8 teams
    2002 - 11 teams
    2001 - 8 teams
    2000 - 8 teams
    1999 - 9 teams
    1998 - 6 teams


    Since we have had 30 teams in baseball, we have never had fewer than 6 teams win 90 games, and in most of those seasons where there were only 6 or 7 teams, those are the seasons that you tend to see 1 or 2 100 win teams.

    And since the new wild card set up, teams rarely make the playoffs with less than 89 wins. You may see a division winner sneak in with less wins, but rarely the wild card team.


    And I don't see the AL Central as particularly strong right now.

    Royals will regress, Tigers are the best team in the division, and White Sox while improved, haven't improved enough to be scary.

  8. #8
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jeffy25 View Post
    Usually, the wild card teams win 89 games, there will be several teams with 90 wins, like there is every year.

    Number of teams with 90 wins
    2014 - 6 teams
    2013 - 11 teams
    2012 - 9 teams
    2011 - 9 teams
    2010 - 9 teams
    2009 - 7 teams
    2008 - 6 teams
    2007 - 6 teams
    2006 - 6 teams
    2005 - 7 teams
    2004 - 10 teams
    2003 - 8 teams
    2002 - 11 teams
    2001 - 8 teams
    2000 - 8 teams
    1999 - 9 teams
    1998 - 6 teams


    Since we have had 30 teams in baseball, we have never had fewer than 6 teams win 90 games, and in most of those seasons where there were only 6 or 7 teams, those are the seasons that you tend to see 1 or 2 100 win teams.

    And since the new wild card set up, teams rarely make the playoffs with less than 89 wins. You may see a division winner sneak in with less wins, but rarely the wild card team.


    And I don't see the AL Central as particularly strong right now.

    Royals will regress, Tigers are the best team in the division, and White Sox while improved, haven't improved enough to be scary.
    It will be interesting to see how the Royals moves work out. Dayton Moore has a good record of picking up guys who are coming off an injury or down year and getting something close to their top-level performances. If Rios, Morales and Medlen produce like they did in 2012 and 2013, then KC got better. If they all have repeats of 2014 the Royals might struggle to stay out of last place in a tough division.

    I would be surprised if the White Sox can win the division, but I think the Tigers will come back to Earth unless Verlander has a nice rebound year (I don't see it). I'll take the Tribe with their pitching to win the Central at this point.

  9. #9
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    Feb 2011
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    1,590
    The only team that didn't improve this offseason is the Twins. A lot depends on if the Tigers re-sign Scherzer.

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