Rasmussen today and yesterday: Romney 48-44
Fordham university study found Rasmussen is the #1 most accurate pollster in america in 2008.
Is it over for Obama?
Rasmussen today and yesterday: Romney 48-44
Fordham university study found Rasmussen is the #1 most accurate pollster in america in 2008.
Is it over for Obama?
Quote:
Originally Posted by justinnum1
Wade will be a lot better next season now that he got knee surgery. Hate on. - 7/31/2012
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Still a long way to go...
The dems on this site will be quick to tell you he's somehow in the tank for the GOP. Especially when the numbers don't agree with their side. This is the one I trust most. His numbers were accurate last time around.
Obama is still looking golden overall in the electoral count. Rassmussen still has Obama in the lead at 247 to 196. If that's to be believed, Obama only needs a few states to wrap it up. Those battleground states are close almost everywhere. To this point, those numbers haven't changed as much as the overall number (48-44), which means little. We'll see if there's a shift. It's all up to the battleground states.
Also, keep in mind that Romney is likely to get a bump after the convention. Obama may also see the same this time next week.
Convention bounce. Common' kids. It's like a win when the other team hasn't played yet.
Originally Posted by MrPoon
The Fordham study took into account one set of numbers from 23 polls. That doesn't exactly stand out to me as reliable. You are more than welcome to see for yourself.
https://docs.google.com/viewer?a=v&q...SZnWihsSWJJRNQ
Here is an interesting chart from Nate Silver:
http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_5ieXw28ZUp...400/bbcor2.png
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/searc...ster%20ratings
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2010/...-does-not.html
Member of the Owlluminati!
Nate Silver essentially proved Rasmussen is biased towards the GOP last time out.
Furthermore Silver's projections have Obama gaining even more ground across the nation as Romney's chances of winning have dropped another 5% in the last 7 days (He still has North Carolina as the only swing state Romney will win).
And the there's this...
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/0...ref=&comm_crv=Polling tracking the impact of the Republican convention has been sparse, but on Monday the Gallup Poll weighed in with a new survey showing the convention had only a "minimal impact" on the fortunes of Republican nominee Mitt Romney.
In interviews conducted over the three days since the close of the Republican convention, Gallup found roughly the same number of Americans saying the convention made them more likely to support Republican nominee Mitt Romney (40 percent) as saying it made them less likely to support him (38 percent).
This self-reported measure should not be interpreted literally since, as Gallup points out, Republicans overwhelmingly said they were more likely to vote for Romney and Democrats largely said they would vote against him, as the partisans on both sides were already supporting their party's nominee. When compared to results from similar surveys conducted following conventions back to 1984, however, these questions provide what Gallup described as a "rough approximation of the conventions' relative impact," since they have asked the same questions following each convention.
By that measure, the 2012 Republican convention had the lowest-ever self-reported net impact on voter intentions ever (+2, the difference between the more and less likely percentages), just slightly lower than the Republican conventions of 2004 (+3) and 2008 (+5).
I've been saying it for weeks... the GOP needs a gamechanger or they're slowly going to get pummeled.
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Huffington post lol
Rasmussen lol
You're talking to me all wrong... It's the wrong tone. You do it again and I'll stab you in the face with a soldering iron. Hey, tell me, does your mother sew? BOOM. Get her to sew that!
You're talking to me all wrong... It's the wrong tone. You do it again and I'll stab you in the face with a soldering iron. Hey, tell me, does your mother sew? BOOM. Get her to sew that!
Visit my Blog.
"I used to want to be pro-life but then I realized I didn't like guns, torture and war enough." - @LOLGOP
I'll say this one more time, the only poll that means anything happens in November.
I'll bet that a lot of you frequently call the online bookies too for the guarranteed Monday Night lock of the week.....
" I have only three rules, be on time, pay attention, and play like hell on Sunday"
-John Madden
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