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  1. #1
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    top 10 in various advanced stats

    Win Shares:
    Code:
    		WS
    1	Lebron	14.5
    2	CP3	12.7
    3	Durant	12.2
    4	Love	10.0
    5	Tyson	9.5
    6	Harden	9.3
    7	Blake	9.2
    8	Noah	9.0
    9	Ryan A	8.9
    10	Pau 	8.3
    Estimated Wins Added (EWA):
    Code:
    	PLAYER	PER	VA	EWA
    1	Lebron	30.80	704.8	23.5
    2	Durant	26.26	598.9	20.0
    3	CP3	27.09	523.7	17.5
    4	Love	25.41	445.4	14.8
    5	Blake	23.50	428.3	14.3
    6	Dwight	24.29	423.0	14.1
    7	RW	23.00	417.6	13.9
    8	Bynum	23.00	390.9	13.0
    9	Wade	26.37	385.0	12.8
    10	Kobe	21.95	381.5	12.7
    	Al Jeff	22.88	380.3	12.7
    Basketball Prospectus' WARP:
    Code:
    	Player  Win%    WARP  
    1	LeBron  0.807   18.6
    2	Durant	0.713	14.9
    3	CP3	0.727	13.5
    4	Love	0.720	13.5
    5	Dwight	0.692	11.8
    6	Ryan A	0.691	10.9
    7	Wade    0.719   10.2
    8	JoshSm  0.637   10.1
    9	RW 	0.629	 9.8
    10	Bynum   0.639    9.8
    ezPM WARP:
    Code:
    RK	NAME	        TEAM	POS	POSS	GS	WARP	WARP75	ezPM100	TO100	TD100	O100	D100
    1	LeBron James	MIA	3.26	3886	70	17.73	0.34	11.40	5.92	2.58	5.43	2.97
    2	Chris Paul	LAC	1.00	3781	69	17.14	0.34	11.31	8.49	1.09	8.31	1.10
    3	Kevin Durant	OKC	3.22	4410	68	13.46	0.23	6.52	2.60	1.29	3.28	1.50
    4	Kobe Bryant	LAL	2.01	3760	59	11.62	0.23	6.64	1.75	1.25	1.18	0.79
    5	Kevin Love	MIN	4.44	3918	57	11.55	0.22	6.19	4.18	0.16	1.62	0.15
    6	Russ Westbrook	OKC	1.05	4065	69	11.45	0.21	5.76	2.88	-0.34	1.98	-0.43
    7	Dwyane Wade	MIA	1.94	2807	53	10.86	0.29	9.16	3.50	3.13	2.42	3.07
    8	Dwight Howard	ORL	5.00	3371	51	10.08	0.22	6.32	1.01	3.64	-1.02	3.43
    9	Carmelo Anthony	NYK	3.27	3117	57	9.44	0.23	6.45	2.93	0.35	2.13	0.72
    10	Tony Parker	SAS	1.00	3320	59	9.33	0.21	5.75	4.27	-0.92	4.69	-1.24
    VORP:

    Code:
    	       TeamMar	Pos	G	MP	ASPM 	O ASPM	D ASPM 	VORP	VORP Gm
    1	Lebron	6.74	3	62	2326	8.79	6.95	-1.85	9.41	9.87
    2	CP3	2.93	1	60	2180	7.53	6.52	-1.01	7.88	8.66
    3	Durant	6.68	3	66	2546	5.14	4.39	-0.75	7.27	7.28
    4	RW	6.68	1	66	2331	4.31	4.13	-0.18	6.05	6.06
    5	Dwight	0.76	5	54	2070	4.58	1.41	-3.17	5.65	6.80
    6	Kobe	2.25	2	58	2232	3.81	3.91	 0.09	5.51	6.18
    7	Love   -1.61	5	55	2145	3.93	3.80	-0.13	5.42	6.40
    8	Millsap	0.85	4	64	2099	3.98	2.32	-1.65	5.26	5.34
    9	JoshSm	2.75	4	65	2300	3.25	0.78	-2.48	5.24	5.24
    10	Wade	6.74	2	49	1625	5.96	4.20	-1.77	5.12	6.80
    Wins Produced:
    Code:
    		POS	GP	MIN	WP48	WP
    1	Lebron	SF	62	2326	0.358	17.3
    2	CP3	PG	60	2180	0.313	14.2
    3	Tyson	C	62	2061	0.311	13.3
    4	Durant	SF	66	2546	0.226	12.0
    5	Iggy	SF	62	2209	0.255	11.7
    6	Noah	C	64	1945	0.281	11.4
    7	Harden	SG	62	1946	0.263	10.6
    8	Nash	PG	62	1961	0.260	10.6
    9	Dwight	C	54	2070	0.243	10.5
    10	Love	PF	55	2145	0.226	10.1
    Per minute top 10 advanced stats

    WS/48:
    Code:
    		WS/48
    1	Lebron	0.298
    2	CP3	0.278
    3	Durant	0.230
    4	Harden	0.230
    5	Wade	0.227
    6	Noah	0.223
    7	Love	0.223
    8	Tyson	0.220
    9	Ryan An	0.219
    10	Boozer	0.187
    PER:
    Code:
    RK	PLAYER	MPG	PER	VA	EWA
    1	Lebron	37.5	30.80	704.8	23.5
    2	CP3	36.4	27.09	523.7	17.5
    3	Wade	33.2	26.37	385.0	12.8
    4	Durant	38.6	26.26	598.9	20.0
    5	Love	39.0	25.41	445.4	14.8
    6	Dwight	38.3	24.29	423.0	14.1
    7	Manu	23.3	24.18	161.7	 5.4
    8	Blake	36.2	23.50	428.3	14.3
    9	Rose	35.3	23.10	248.4	 8.3
    10	RW	35.3	23.00	417.6	13.9
    	Bynum	35.2	23.00	390.9	13.0
    Basketball Prospectus WARP Win%:
    Code:
    	Player  Win%    WARP  
    1	LeBron  0.807	18.6
    2	CP3	0.727	13.5
    3	Love	0.720	13.5
    4	Wade    0.719	10.2
    5	Durant	0.713	14.9
    6	Manu	0.711	 4.7
    7	Dwight	0.692	11.8
    8	Ryan A	0.691	10.9
    9	Monroe  0.648	 9.7
    10	Harden	0.644	 9.1
    Note: The top 10 are based on all of the player win %'s that were included in these 2 articles: http://basketballprospectus.com/arti...articleid=2232
    http://basketballprospectus.com/arti...articleid=2230

    Most of the top players are included in those 2 articles but there may be some players missing with top 10 win%'s. So consider this a "rough" list.

    ezPM:
    Code:
    RK	NAME	TEAM	POS	POSS	GS	WARP	WARP75	ezPM100	TO100	TD100	O100	D100
    1	Lebron	MIA	3.26	3886	70	17.73	0.34	11.40	5.92	2.58	5.43	2.97
    2	CP3	LAC	1.00	3781	69	17.14	0.34	11.31	8.49	1.09	8.31	1.10
    3	Wade	MIA	1.94	2807	53	10.86	0.29	9.16	3.50	3.13	2.42	3.07
    4	Rose	CHI	1.02	2477	41	8.82	0.27	8.16	4.81	0.38	4.53	0.55
    5	Kobe	LAL	2.01	3760	59	11.62	0.23	6.64	1.75	1.25	1.18	0.79
    6	Durant	OKC	3.22	4410	68	13.46	0.23	6.52	2.60	1.29	3.28	1.50
    7	Melo	NYK	3.27	3117	57	9.44	0.23	6.45	2.93	0.35	2.13	0.72
    8	Dwight	ORL	5.00	3371	51	10.08	0.22	6.32	1.01	3.64	-1.02	3.43
    9	Love	MIN	4.44	3918	57	11.55	0.22	6.19	4.18	0.16	1.62	0.15
    10	RW	OKC	1.05	4065	69	11.45	0.21	5.76	2.88	-0.34	1.98	-0.43
    11	Parker	SAS	1.00	3320	59	9.33	0.21	5.75	4.27	-0.92	4.69	-1.24
    ASPM (Advanced Statistical +/-):
    Code:
    	       TeamMar	Pos	G	MP	ASPM 	O ASPM	D ASPM 	VORP	VORP Gm
    1	Lebron	6.74	3	62	2326	8.79	6.95	-1.85	9.41	9.87
    2	CP3	2.93	1	60	2180	7.53	6.52	-1.01	7.88	8.66
    3	Wade	6.74	2	49	1625	5.96	4.20	-1.77	5.12	6.80
    4	Rose	7.92	1	39	1375	5.46	5.16	-0.31	4.14	6.91
    5	Durant	6.68	3	66	2546	5.14	4.39	-0.75	7.27	7.28
    6	Dwight	0.76	5	54	2070	4.58	1.41	-3.17	5.65	6.80
    7	Manu	7.63	2	34	792	4.39	4.53	0.13	2.12	4.05
    8	RW	6.68	1	66	2331	4.31	4.13	-0.18	6.05	6.06
    9	Millsap	0.85	4	64	2099	3.98	2.32	-1.65	5.26	5.34
    10	Love	-1.61	5	55	2145	3.93	3.80	-0.13	5.42	6.40
    11	Parker	7.63	1	60	1923	3.89	4.68	0.78	4.83	5.24
    12	Kobe	2.25	2	58	2232	3.81	3.91	0.09	5.51	6.18
    WP/48: (minimum 500 minutes)
    Code:
    	NAME	TEAM	POS	GP	MIN	WP48	Wins
    1	Lebron	MIA	SF	62	2326	0.358	17.3
    2	Faried	DEN	PF	46	1037	0.317	6.9
    3	CP3	LAC	PG	60	2180	0.313	14.2
    4	Tyson	NYK	C	62	2061	0.311	13.3
    5	Manu	SAS	SF	34	792	0.304	5.0
    6	BWright	DAL	PF	49	791	0.285	4.7
    7	Kawhi	SAS	SF	64	1534	0.284	9.1
    8	Noah	CHI	C	64	1945	0.281	11.4
    9	Camby	HOU	C	59	1352	0.265	7.5
    10	Ibaka	OKC	PF	66	1792	0.263	9.8
    11	Harden	OKC	SG	62	1946	0.263	10.6
    12	Nash	PHO	PG	62	1961	0.260	10.6
    13	Varejao	CLE	C	25	785	0.257	4.2
    14	Iggy	PHI	SF	62	2209	0.255	11.7
    15	Ersan	MIL	PF	60	1655	0.251	8.7
    16	Wae	MIA	SG	49	1625	0.247	8.4
    17	Dwight	ORL	C	54	2070	0.243	10.5
    The average WP48 value is 0.100, since a team of 5 such players would produce .5 wins per 48 minutes, which would equate to winning 41 of 82 games. In most sites that use the WP48 metric, we divide players into these categories:

    < 0.0 WP48 A player who actually costs his teams wins (i.e. this player is actually worse than a player who contributes nothing)
    < 0.100 WP48 A below-average player
    > 0.100 WP48 An above-average player
    0.200+ WP48 A "star" player. If WP48 were the metric used for choosing all-stars, most players with 0.200+ would make the cut (i.e. these players produce twice as many wins per minute as an average player)
    0.300+ WP48 A "superstar" player. These would be All-NBA 1st-team and MVP candidates.
    No prior RAPM (Regularized Adjusted +/-):
    Code:
    	Name	O 100	D 100	Off+Def per 200
    1	Taj G	0.9	3.4	4.3
    2	Bonner	3.7	0.3	4.0
    3	Dirk	2.5	1.4	3.9
    4	Blake	3.6	-0.1	3.6
    5	Parker	2.3	1.3	3.6
    6	Beno U	1.8	1.6	3.4
    7	Lebron	2.8	0.6	3.4
    8	Vince C	2.2	1.2	3.4
    9	Gallo	1.8	1.6	3.4
    10	Harden	4.8	-1.7	3.2
    11	CP3	3.7	-0.6	3.1
    12	Marc G	1.1	1.9	3.1
    13	KG	1.8	1.2	3.0
    14	Ryan A	3.4	-0.4	3.0
    15	Manu	4.2	-1.2	3.0
    RAPM (using the 10-11 season as a prior):
    Code:
    	Name	O 100	D 100	Off+Def per 200
    1	Dirk	4.8	3.2	8.0
    2	Manu	6.3	0.0	6.3
    3	CP3	5.3	0.7	6.0
    4	Lebron	4.2	1.8	6.0
    5	KG	2.1	3.6	5.6
    6	Bonner	4.4	1.0	5.4
    7	Nick Co	3.6	1.7	5.3
    8	Millsap	2.5	2.5	5.0
    9	Nash	4.7	0.4	5.0
    10	Deng	0.8	4.0	4.8
    11	Duncan	0.6	4.1	4.7
    12	Wade	3.9	0.7	4.6
    13	Conley	3.5	0.6	4.1
    14	Josh Sm	0.9	3.2	4.1
    15	Dwight	0.2	4.0	4.1
    16	Taj G	0.4	3.7	4.0
    Patriots Forum HOF Class of 2011

  2. #2
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    I still think Wins Produced is a garbage stat but decided to throw it in there anyways. Out of all of these stats, ASPM/VORP do the best job of predicting future team records (meaning its the best stat for telling what will happen going forward).
    Patriots Forum HOF Class of 2011

  3. #3
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    I'm not surprised that Taj has the highest RAPM this year. He's brings so many intangibles to the game. I'm happy to see Gallo in there as well. He should be a very unique player to have throughout his career.
    YOU TRIED HARD MIAMI

  4. #4
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    Quote Originally Posted by VCaintdead17 View Post
    I'm not surprised that Taj has the highest RAPM this year. He's brings so many intangibles to the game. I'm happy to see Gallo in there as well. He should be a very unique player to have throughout his career.
    Yup, very strong defense and the fact that he's subbing in for Boozer leads to the highest RAPM. I think he should be the starter personally. With that said, its still probably better to use the prior version of RAPM. Although, I've seen basketball prospectus reference the non-prior version a # of times in their articles.

    Yeah, I'm still a fan of Gallo and unfortunately a lot of Knicks fans trash him because he was what we gave up for Melo. Gallo beats him in RAPM though. Found it interesting to see Melo in the top 10 in ezPM- I suspect that has something to do with the counterpart defense being included in his stats. He had a good counterpart PER and I suspect that his overall counterpart stats were strong, even if ezPM is calculated differently than PER. I still like the stat though but it raises a good question on how reliable counterpart stats are.

    If I remember correctly though, ezPM finished strong in the APBR retrodiction contest, which suggests its a good stat.
    Patriots Forum HOF Class of 2011

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