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  1. #1
    Join Date
    Jul 2010

    Calculating Win Probability

    In its most basic form, the PYT record for a team depends on runs scored versus runs allowed.

    We use this to find that team A has 56% chance of winning and team B has 59% chance of winning.

    If these two teams were set to face each other, could we calculate the chance of team A winning?

  2. #2
    Join Date
    Aug 2009
    A rough way to calculate it is .56/(.56+.59).

    That would have Team A 48.7% likely to beat Team B.

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