by the way, saw what school you went too and no wonder why my school kicks your schools ***.
Last edited by D Roses Bulls; 02-14-2011 at 06:21 PM.
I was going to make a thread about "Why cant Paul Win?" but i figured i will just use this thread.
People like Donald Trump seem to think that Paul cant win, but i think he is the scariest candidate for Obama in 2012. My reasoning lies in several key factors that separate him from every other candidate; one is that he has a huge youth following, two is that he does not have the baggage that a Republican typically has amongst iffy voters who use social issues to decide who to vote for, three he opposes the Iraq and Afghanistan wars which many people do but most Republican candidates will not oppose it because of politics not policy.
Amongst youth voters Obama went 68-30 for Obama. That is a large monopoly on a specific voting bloc that made up nearly twice the difference between McCain and Obama. Some simple math:
38% is the gap, which with their other numbers of "youth voters" equals 14.6M voter difference.
The election went 53-46, which gives a 7% gap. Times the number of expected voters (122M) that equals a 8.5M gap.
That is a huge advantage, if that trend continues no Republican stands a chance of winning. Ron Paul has a calling or something with the youth voters in this country. It points to a strong belief of mine that the younger voters are choosing to alienate the candidates who are socially conservative and want to pick between a candidate who is socially liberal/fiscally conservative and socially liberal/fiscally liberal. People who are not in agreement may disagree with me though.
To argue that the US is not war-wary would just be foolish. Being embroiled in two wars will do that to you for 10 years. Paul represents an option to Republicans who want to oppose the war but dont want to do it by voting for a Democrat who wont represent their fiscal views (kind of feeds back into #1).
I tried to break these down into the three groups but they kept bleeding into one another.
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"Glad the GOP finally came out with an Obamacare alternative. Can't wait to see their alternative to the Iraq War." - @LOLGOP
My biggest issue with Ron Pauil is that he keeps getting pushed aside by the republican party. So its not an issue with him. Its an issue I ahve wiht the party.
Ron Paul is the scariest candidate atm. He has big youth support and he's the only candidate that could beat Obama right now. Unfortunately the republican party will screw this up and put someone like Palin or Huckabee and they'll get slaughtered. Let's hope that doesn't happen.
To be honest, Ron Paul is probably the only Republican candidate that I'd take most seriously, and take along hard look at before voting in 2012...
In 2010 they bet with Democrats and in 2006 they bet with Republicans. But other than that they seem to "pick" the winners and know that no one will want to "look soft" to our enemies.
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