The probability of Pac 10 teams playing in Bowls.
In: Oregon: A lock for the Rose Bowl unless the wheels come completely off the wagon. No realistic hope of going to the NC game.
USC: There is still hope for the Torjans to get into a BCS game if they win out, like they normally do in November. In the world of the BCS, money talks, and we USC grads have a lot of that. If not, the Holiday Bowl will be their likely bowl game against Okie State or OU.
Cal: The Bears are in, and could finish with a 9-2 record. If USC goes BCS Bowling, Cal goes to San Diego. If not, the Sun Bowl is where they land.
Oregon State: With 5 wins and games against both Washinton teams left, Oregon State is in. The Sun Bowl is probably the best they can hope for.
Arizona: This weeks win over Wazzu puts the 'Cats in. Las Vegas may be looking nice, but they play the brunt of their schedule after this week.
UCLA: Suprised? Don't be. UCLA has played the tough part of their schedule and now gets Washington and Arizona State at home, sandwiching a trip to Pullman. That could bring 3 wins, and bowl eligability, before finishing the year at USC.
Arizona State: A tough road for ASU awaits them. They must win two out of their last 4 against USC, at Oregon and UCLA, and against Arizona. Highly unlikely.
Stanford: Everyone figures Stanford to be in a bowl game, but the Cards have only 5 wins. They close the schedule against Oregon, at USC, Cal and Notre Dame. Where is the 6th win?
Washington: Yes, mathematically Washington is still alive, but can only afford one more loss. That means winning two out of three games at UCLA, at Oregon State, and vs Cal, along with a win against Pac 10 whipping boy Wazzu.
Out: Washington State. A one win season to back up a two win season looms.