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Type: Posts; User: KrunchyGoodness

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  1. Replies
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    While I normally agree with your premise that not...

    While I normally agree with your premise that not all players regress their BABIP to .300, that is not something you really need to consider when analyzing an entire team. Because ZiPS is...
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    Well it's not nearly as close. ERA over 3 years...

    Well it's not nearly as close. ERA over 3 years is not that bad of a stat. RBI over 3 years is still a horrible stat. And FIP has it's own problems that it still needs to correct or that it...
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    I am waiting on the last 2 ZiPS projections...

    I am waiting on the last 2 ZiPS projections (Indians and Braves) and then I will post a bunch of rough team WAR/win numbers as Dan Szymborski's system has them on their depth chart. I may try to fix...
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    I was mixing bbref game logs with fangraphs...

    I was mixing bbref game logs with fangraphs season stats. It seems that bbref might use different definitions for GB/FB/LD. I'll look into it later. Thanks.
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    Except that is not true at all. I just ran some...

    Except that is not true at all. I just ran some HR/FB splits on Blanton's 2012. He had a HR/FB percentage of 11.9% in the Phillies ballpark. In all other ballparks, he had a percentage of 7.2%. 10 of...
  6. Trout is too low. Should be higher.

    Trout is too low. Should be higher.
  7. It's called game theory. If a GM thinks it's so...

    It's called game theory. If a GM thinks it's so simple as to try, lose, then give up, then he isn't playing the game correctly. He needs to anticipate moves, plan alternatives, and force plays. No, I...
  8. You can do whatever you want Jeffy. I'm not...

    You can do whatever you want Jeffy. I'm not stopping you. But everyone else can do what they want as well.

    The important thing really isn't being right or wrong. It's being an effective...
  9. Because that is not how semantics works. I can...

    Because that is not how semantics works. I can say whatever I want and have whatever meaning I want with every word I use. I could say, "I have five dollars." What I mean by five is what you would...
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    He used to pitch in high school or something....

    He used to pitch in high school or something. Maybe you could turn him into a starting pitcher. Lots of interleague next year. Pitcher hits.
  11. I like the signing. Yes, it is overpaying, but...

    I like the signing. Yes, it is overpaying, but that is the supply and demand of this SP market.

    2012: HR/9 1.37, BABIP .310, HR/FB 15.3%

    Forget about individual value for a second. Let's talk...
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    http://www.theonion.com/articles/kim-jongun-named-...

    http://www.theonion.com/articles/kim-jongun-named-the-onions-sexiest-man-alive-for,30379/
    ...
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    No. They need the cap space for Dwight, Lebron,...

    No. They need the cap space for Dwight, Lebron, and CP3 in 2 years...
  14. Poll: Rebounds and FT% down from last year. Who knows?...

    Rebounds and FT% down from last year. Who knows? He may get worse.
  15. It may be rigged but it probably isn't as big of...

    It may be rigged but it probably isn't as big of a conspiracy as you think. It would be next to impossible to rig it at the player level. Someone would speak out. The players probably aren't playing...
  16. He meant in LA...

    He meant in LA...
  17. If the lakers win the next two, I think the...

    If the lakers win the next two, I think the chances he's a Laker are about 85%.
  18. Replies
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    Balance, isn't baseball just great?

    Balance, isn't baseball just great?
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    I agree with everything but the bold. The AL West...

    I agree with everything but the bold. The AL West is by far the best division in baseball. See out of division records. Mariners are one win away from the entire division being over .500 against...
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    They'll win the Central again? Maybe win a couple...

    They'll win the Central again? Maybe win a couple more games? With that record, that isn't saying too much.
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    *(1) So the Angels had no success this season? I...

    *(1) So the Angels had no success this season? I was not aware of a team going 0-162 with 0 RS and 1,000,000 RA this season. Why is it that making the post season is the arbitrary point where a...
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    Poll: I was talking about the division overall. Still,...

    I was talking about the division overall. Still, the AL West is much better in offense than AL Central, and arguably better than AL East.
    ...
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    Poll: And Weaver and Price were both in tougher (far...

    And Weaver and Price were both in tougher (far tougher for Weaver) divisions.
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    23,619

    Poll: Football and basketball stats are pretty bad at...

    Football and basketball stats are pretty bad at telling us how good an individual actually is. Even the best ones are not very good at separating team from player. Baseball stats are much better. The...
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    Poll: So the value Cabrera adds is in his choice to...

    So the value Cabrera adds is in his choice to move or not move. If he doesn't move, you don't sign Fielder? I'm not buying it. Cabrera realistically didn't even have a choice.

    And this has...
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