What Win Shares actually penalizes is players that play on inefficient teams (that is, teams that win less games than their component statistics indicate they should). If a player is on a team with...
Type: Posts; User: Toirtap
What Win Shares actually penalizes is players that play on inefficient teams (that is, teams that win less games than their component statistics indicate they should). If a player is on a team with...
It is not inherently un-sabermetric to eschew metrics like FIP, xFIP, and SIERA in an attempt to look at performance retroactively. The line between ability and value is very blurred when it comes...
While I'm not crazy about using the results of BBWAA voting to trumpet any sort of "victory" for sabermetrics in the first place, I do think that some of the comments here reflect a very narrow view...
WHIP was originally a rotisserie category. They used stats that were widely available in newspapers in the early 1980s.
Since WHIP is used as a quick indicator, there's really not much utility to...
As you correctly surmised, intentional walks are a subset of walks in the statistics. Adding them in would be double-counting.
It means that a single in an average situation in which there is a runner on second (averaged across 0, 1, and 2 out states) increases the team's run expectancy by an average of .72 runs.
The LW...
Given that the differences in next year RMSE between SIERA, xFIP, and tRA are very small, and that the two metrics take very different approaches to their treatment of batted ball types, I'd say we...
The good news for those that don't like the BA scale is that since the TAv formula is now fully linear, so one can just add another .075 or so for an OBA scale or subtract .260 and multiply by 1.09...
The 2000 AL was one of the highest scoring leagues in history, with a league ERA of 4.92, so his 3.5 FIP was well above average. Fangraphs WAR uses FIP rather than actual RA or ERA, which benefits...
I suggested OPS/Extra Bases/Times on Base, not OBA/Extra Bases/Times on Base. The former gives you an overall rate, a power total, and an on base total.
Admittedly, I don't care too much about any sort of Triple Crown formulation. In fact, I'm half-rooting for Miguel Cabrera to win the TC, but someone else to be more worthy of the MVP award. Then...
The most important thing to know about WAR is what goes into it--how offense is measured, what the positional adjustments are, what is used for the replacement level, etc.--not any one site or...
From the post introducing wOBA on Fangraphs:
The difference in the offensive RAA is worth noting. Chone uses Base Runs to generate custom linear weights for each team, and ensures that the weights result in estimated runs = actual runs. This...
B-R uses Chone's WAR, which was previously available (still is) at baseballprojection.com.
That is not what I am saying. What I am saying is that when you break end-outcomes down into mutually exclusive categories of "includes fielders" and "doesn't include fielders", it is abundantly...
"only results a pitcher is specifically responsible for"
If one defines results as end outcomes, which is a perfectly reasonable definition...
It's pretty clear that you have an axe to grind...
In addition to the other points that have been made, there are many different choices of what inputs to put into metrics. FIP only considers end outcomes of plays--homers, walks, Ks. A metric like...
It should also be noted that groundballs are not part of a standard pitching line (i.e. the official statistics kept by the league office). Many metrics limit themselves to data contained in the...
This just isn't the case. Yes, the values of events are dependent on the context. But they don't change to such an extent that fixed values are completely inaccurate and unusable. One can use a...
You have to take into account the league average. Suppose that the league average is 4.5. Then a crude estimate would be:
6*(3/4.5) = 4
Of course I realize this. When someone tells me "all things being equal", I assume they mean "all things being equal".
I have no problem with you leaving something out. We're all human, that...
I'm not going to waste my time on the first.
You didn't, and I did not claim that you did. What you said is "all things being equal". And in that case the player with the higher BA will...
If that's what you got from the comment, then you either completely misunderstood what I was saying or I did a horrific job of expressing myself. Either way, I have no doubt you'll see what you want...
I just did a test on the 1980s, but I used R/(AB-H) rather than innings batted.
Best fit was 1.84*BA/LgBA - .84, with RMSE 37.6 and 1.45*SLG/LgSLG - .45 with RMSE 33.2.
Anyway, C1B's answer...