Like us on Facebook


Follow us on Twitter





Search:

Type: Posts; User: Toirtap

Page 1 of 3 1 2 3

Search: Search took 0.23 seconds.

  1. Replies
    2
    Views
    1,019

    What Win Shares actually penalizes is players...

    What Win Shares actually penalizes is players that play on inefficient teams (that is, teams that win less games than their component statistics indicate they should). If a player is on a team with...
  2. Replies
    25
    Views
    1,772

    It is not inherently un-sabermetric to eschew...

    It is not inherently un-sabermetric to eschew metrics like FIP, xFIP, and SIERA in an attempt to look at performance retroactively. The line between ability and value is very blurred when it comes...
  3. Replies
    25
    Views
    1,772

    While I'm not crazy about using the results of...

    While I'm not crazy about using the results of BBWAA voting to trumpet any sort of "victory" for sabermetrics in the first place, I do think that some of the comments here reflect a very narrow view...
  4. Thread: WHIP question

    by Toirtap
    Replies
    10
    Views
    864

    WHIP was originally a rotisserie category. They...

    WHIP was originally a rotisserie category. They used stats that were widely available in newspapers in the early 1980s.

    Since WHIP is used as a quick indicator, there's really not much utility to...
  5. Thread: WHIP question

    by Toirtap
    Replies
    10
    Views
    864

    As you correctly surmised, intentional walks are...

    As you correctly surmised, intentional walks are a subset of walks in the statistics. Adding them in would be double-counting.
  6. Replies
    436
    Views
    29,157

    Sticky: It means that a single in an average situation in...

    It means that a single in an average situation in which there is a runner on second (averaged across 0, 1, and 2 out states) increases the team's run expectancy by an average of .72 runs.

    The LW...
  7. Replies
    2
    Views
    485

    Given that the differences in next year RMSE...

    Given that the differences in next year RMSE between SIERA, xFIP, and tRA are very small, and that the two metrics take very different approaches to their treatment of batted ball types, I'd say we...
  8. Replies
    1
    Views
    604

    The good news for those that don't like the BA...

    The good news for those that don't like the BA scale is that since the TAv formula is now fully linear, so one can just add another .075 or so for an OBA scale or subtract .260 and multiply by 1.09...
  9. Replies
    2
    Views
    464

    The 2000 AL was one of the highest scoring...

    The 2000 AL was one of the highest scoring leagues in history, with a league ERA of 4.92, so his 3.5 FIP was well above average. Fangraphs WAR uses FIP rather than actual RA or ERA, which benefits...
  10. Thread: Triple Crown

    by Toirtap
    Replies
    12
    Views
    908

    I suggested OPS/Extra Bases/Times on Base, not...

    I suggested OPS/Extra Bases/Times on Base, not OBA/Extra Bases/Times on Base. The former gives you an overall rate, a power total, and an on base total.
  11. Thread: Triple Crown

    by Toirtap
    Replies
    12
    Views
    908

    Admittedly, I don't care too much about any sort...

    Admittedly, I don't care too much about any sort of Triple Crown formulation. In fact, I'm half-rooting for Miguel Cabrera to win the TC, but someone else to be more worthy of the MVP award. Then...
  12. The most important thing to know about WAR is...

    The most important thing to know about WAR is what goes into it--how offense is measured, what the positional adjustments are, what is used for the replacement level, etc.--not any one site or...
  13. Replies
    14
    Views
    965

    From the post introducing wOBA on Fangraphs...

    From the post introducing wOBA on Fangraphs:
  14. Replies
    14
    Views
    965

    The difference in the offensive RAA is worth...

    The difference in the offensive RAA is worth noting. Chone uses Base Runs to generate custom linear weights for each team, and ensures that the weights result in estimated runs = actual runs. This...
  15. Replies
    14
    Views
    965

    B-R uses Chone's WAR, which was previously...

    B-R uses Chone's WAR, which was previously available (still is) at baseballprojection.com.
  16. That is not what I am saying. What I am saying...

    That is not what I am saying. What I am saying is that when you break end-outcomes down into mutually exclusive categories of "includes fielders" and "doesn't include fielders", it is abundantly...
  17. "only results a pitcher is specifically...

    "only results a pitcher is specifically responsible for"

    If one defines results as end outcomes, which is a perfectly reasonable definition...

    It's pretty clear that you have an axe to grind...
  18. In addition to the other points that have been...

    In addition to the other points that have been made, there are many different choices of what inputs to put into metrics. FIP only considers end outcomes of plays--homers, walks, Ks. A metric like...
  19. It should also be noted that groundballs are not...

    It should also be noted that groundballs are not part of a standard pitching line (i.e. the official statistics kept by the league office). Many metrics limit themselves to data contained in the...
  20. This just isn't the case. Yes, the values of...

    This just isn't the case. Yes, the values of events are dependent on the context. But they don't change to such an extent that fixed values are completely inaccurate and unusable. One can use a...
  21. Replies
    2
    Views
    375

    You have to take into account the league average....

    You have to take into account the league average. Suppose that the league average is 4.5. Then a crude estimate would be:

    6*(3/4.5) = 4
  22. Replies
    41
    Views
    2,621

    Of course I realize this. When someone tells me...

    Of course I realize this. When someone tells me "all things being equal", I assume they mean "all things being equal".

    I have no problem with you leaving something out. We're all human, that...
  23. Replies
    41
    Views
    2,621

    I'm not going to waste my time on the first. ...

    I'm not going to waste my time on the first.



    You didn't, and I did not claim that you did. What you said is "all things being equal". And in that case the player with the higher BA will...
  24. Replies
    41
    Views
    2,621

    If that's what you got from the comment, then you...

    If that's what you got from the comment, then you either completely misunderstood what I was saying or I did a horrific job of expressing myself. Either way, I have no doubt you'll see what you want...
  25. Replies
    41
    Views
    2,621

    I just did a test on the 1980s, but I used...

    I just did a test on the 1980s, but I used R/(AB-H) rather than innings batted.

    Best fit was 1.84*BA/LgBA - .84, with RMSE 37.6 and 1.45*SLG/LgSLG - .45 with RMSE 33.2.

    Anyway, C1B's answer...
Results 1 to 25 of 57
Page 1 of 3 1 2 3