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Type: Posts; User: Milnertime

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  1. Replies
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    Sticky: They only play for another 5 or 6 weeks then...

    They only play for another 5 or 6 weeks then playoffs. My guess is he'll get a cup of coffee after that but start the year in triple A next year.
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    Good to know and thank you. I knew that UZR used...

    Bold: That's not true. UZR doesn't take shifted plays into account at all. They ignore those plays for now.

    Italics: UZR is measured in fractions of runs saved. There's no denominator issue here:...
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    I haven't looked that much into it, but my guess...

    I haven't looked that much into it, but my guess is with all the shifting done these days, any defensive system available to the public isn't all that great anymore.

    UZR uses zones on the field...
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    Sticky: Someone agreed to marry you?

    Someone agreed to marry you?
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    But you're a egomaniac. That makes sense. For a...

    But you're a egomaniac. That makes sense. For a bunch of nerds hanging out in their moms basements that pretty aggressive.
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    At the time it was coined, SABR was an apt name...

    I would never be snarky, or pompous enough, to label something I helped create 'saber'. Like North has said , it sounds douchey.[/QUOTE]

    At the time it was coined, SABR was an apt name for it...
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    Sticky: Well ****, someone call Bryant's dad and get him...

    Well ****, someone call Bryant's dad and get him on the payroll. The guys he taught to hit are combined for approximately 4,000 home runs this year.
  8. One of the things that gets lost about this Cubs...

    One of the things that gets lost about this Cubs team is that they have done well with low risk FA pitching. Feldman, Hammel, Arrietta, even though he was traded for have all been reclamation...
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    At the major league level this is absolutely...

    Baez walk rate will not change because Bryant is behind him. I can promise that. And he won't suddenly start getting grooved fastballs to hit that he wasn't getting prior either.[/QUOTE]
    At the...
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    If you're not on the beach or at one of the theme...

    It's almost like some people haven't been to Arkansas.

    That state is ********. Florida has beaches. Arkansas.....has.....things?[/QUOTE]

    If you're not on the beach or at one of the theme...
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    I've always thought Alexei Ramirez is a good...

    Yea I see 20ish in his prime. I see a great hit tool and above average to excellent defense in CF. Jeteresque really. Maybe not quite as good, but if all things go right with him I think he'll be our...
  12. Replies
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    When he starts kicking towels, I'll be worried.

    When he starts kicking towels, I'll be worried.
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    They are probably having extended Spring Training...

    They are probably having extended Spring Training there right now and the Rookie Ball team that plays in the Arizona League will likely play on one of the fields, if not the main one at Cubs Park.
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    Poll: It's post 1005 in this thread. Go back to it and...

    It's post 1005 in this thread. Go back to it and remove it from your multiquote in the bottom right of the post.
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    Plenty of good hitters have sub 80% contact...

    Plenty of good hitters have sub 80% contact rates. They usually couple the low contact with good batting eyes but not always.
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    Gomez' contact rate has never been that great....

    Gomez' contact rate has never been that great. It's only a little higher than the 72-73 percent you're talking about for his career. It's actually gone down as he's hit for more power. What has...
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    Probably high. I think Miguel Cabrera led the...

    Probably high. I think Miguel Cabrera led the league last season with a 155. The year before that it was Raul Ibanez, of all people.
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    There are a lot of similarities between Lake and...

    There are a lot of similarities between Lake and Gomez. The year before Gomez' power surge he had a spike in his hard hit ball percentage. Lake hasn't had that yet, but if it happens more power could...
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    Wins Above Replacement means just that. A...

    Wins Above Replacement means just that. A replacement level player is worth 0 WAR. An average player is worth 2.0 WAR. Anything above that is above average. Elite players will regularly reach and...
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    Definitely. I wasn't referring to Samardzija...

    Definitely. I wasn't referring to Samardzija specifically, but more the general idea that pitching will cost a lot and they shouldn't necessarily shy away from it. If Samardzija fits their profile...
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    The fact is, the Cubs will have to pay for...

    IIRC the last "rumored" figure was greater than 65M.

    And IMO, which means absolutely nothing to the Cubs FO, I would be comfortable in the 80-85M range on the Shark extension.

    He (Shark)...
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    Baez just had his last AB. He smoked a ball right...

    Baez just had his last AB. He smoked a ball right at the SS, which left the SS squeezing both hands in pain afterwards. He hits the the ball so ****in hard. The Texas announcers were in awe of his...
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    No, they're worthless. There's plenty of data out...

    Couldn't find a newer one on BP, but fangraphs says that it's even less at 60 PA. I also think that ST stats can be valuable when you are looking at a trend that's continuing from the year before. ...
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    It's hard to believe that a guy just lost the...

    It's hard to believe that a guy just lost the skills he demonstrated previously almost overnight. There is a good reason that his production fell off a cliff. The question now, IMO, isn't about the...
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    Bonifacio with another triple. Dude is fast.

    Bonifacio with another triple. Dude is fast.
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