Again, why in the world are you dividing your stat by the # of Plate appearances, only to have to do more math to get back to the number you were originally at?Quote:
You can call my forumula pointless or anything else you wish.
But don't you dare say it ignores walks. :D
Basiacally my forumula tells what a players bat is worth per plate appearance.
If the player's PoA is 0.250, then the player is worth a single every at bat.
The forumula pretty much tells you at what rate the player got to 1st, second, third and home when put into a forumula.
Once you find out a player's PoA per plate appearance, you just need to find out how many plate appearances the player averaged per game.
Multiply he player's PoA with the average plate appearance per game and you'll see what the player's production would average out per game.
Cabrera averaged a PoA of 0.6816768 per game, or in other words, Cabrera's bat was worth somewhere between a double and a triple a game considering 0.500 would be averaging a double.
Take the player's PoA per game and multiply it by the number of games the player played and it will tell you around how many runs the player should score in that season.
Cabrera PoA for the entire season was 109.74513, he scored 109 runs. pretty damn accurate there.
Of course scoring runs or producing rbi's has factors like how your team does as well. Like I said, the forumula would say around how many runs the player should score that season.
Then there are cases like Andrew Jones, he scored 103 runs. Looking at his batting statistics this season do you believe his bat was worth 103 runs.
The PoA was 0.1294835 per bat, 0.5570987 per game and over the season, his PoA was 90.249989.
This means Andrew Jones SHOULD have scored closer to 90 runs on the season. Andrew Jones' bat was worth 90 runs this season.
Again, the formula doesn't put a value on the hits themselves, it just tells you at what rate did the player reach all 4 bases when added up.
You first find out the player's PoA, then you multiply it by the player's average plate appearances per game, and you'll find out what the player's bat's value is per game. Then you take that number and multiply it by the number of games played and you'll see how many runs the player's bat was worth over an entire season. Usually the PoA of a player for the season is near 5 runs compared to how many runs they actually scored.
You can use PoA to estimate how many runs a player would score in a season.
Go ahead, pick any player from this season and find out how accurate or inaccurate it is compared to how many runs they scored on the season.
It's like you're adding more steps to get nowhere just to make your stat seem more complicated.